Alexander Zverev and Jacob Fearnley will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.074
Jacob Fearnley -> 8.2
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Alexander Zverev and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-14 | 11-4 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the German got to the 3rd round after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-1 6-4 6-1). During the match, Zverev scored 91 points vs Martinez Portero’s 54. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (41/54) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke Martinez Portero 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Zverev has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (451-174). 4-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an overall 185-75 match record in the last years on hard.
Alexander has an aggregate 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-17 | 9-5 | 10-6 | 3-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, Jacob reached the 3rd round after beating Nick Kyrgios 7-6(3) 6-3 7-6(1) and Arthur Cazaux 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Cazaux, Jacob recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3). During the match Fearnley scored 116 points vs Cazaux’s 101. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Fearnley fired 9 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (51/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Cazaux 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Jacob’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Fearnley has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Fearnley has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 73 |
| Pts | 203-143 | 243-203 |
| Total Points | 346 | 446 |
| Winners | 91 | 106 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Zverev and Fearnley played 2 matches. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley lost 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Fearnley (6 vs 7). Therefore, Zverev played 19 games less than Fearnley. Alexander scored 91 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Fearnley struck 106 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 13 |
| 1st in | 118/161 | 137/221 |
| %1st in | 73% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 91/118 | 106/137 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 27/43 | 48/84 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 57% |
Zverev scored 26 aces (13 per match). Fearnley made 26 aces (13 per match). Zverev won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/31 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Zverev broke his opponents 9 times with a 29% conversion rate. Zverev very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 8 break points. Jacob broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Fearnley conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||
| R1 Pouille |
R2 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 54 | |
| pts | 112-89 | 91-54 | 203-143 | |
| Total points | 201 | 145 | 346 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 64/88 | 54/73 | 118/161 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 41/54 | 91/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 12/19 | 27/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/18 | 6/13 | 9/31 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 46% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fearnley | ||||
| R1 Kyrgios |
R2 Cazaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 7-61 | 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 38 | 73 | |
| pts | 127-102 | 116-101 | 243-203 | |
| Total points | 229 | 217 | 446 | |
| Winners | 55 | 51 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 17 | 9 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 68/110 | 69/111 | 137/221 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 55/68 | 51/69 | 106/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/42 | 21/42 | 48/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 50% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 7/13 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 54% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWL
LLWLWWLLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Ben SheltonShelton – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-3 6-3 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-5 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-2 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-2 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-63 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-77 6-75 6-4 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hugo GastonGaston (6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jaime FariaFaria (6-1 6-74 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-2 6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 3-6 2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Quentin HalysHalys (6-2 4-6 7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Casper RuudRuud (6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-73 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-61 6-75 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-73 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-0 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Hady HabibHabib (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-2 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-2 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-5 6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-6(3) 7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
