Varvara Gracheva and Eva Lys will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eva Lys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Eva Lys is the pick to win this match.
Eva Lys -> 1.66
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Eva Lys
This will be the 2nd time that Varvara Gracheva and Eva Lys fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Lys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Lys won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Lausanne back in 2022.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-18 | 4-6 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Varvara reached the 2nd round after defeating Caty McNally 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against McNally (6-3 6-4). During the match, Gracheva scored 65 points vs McNally’s 48. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gracheva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Varvara Gracheva was quite effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of her 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The French player broke McNally 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Gracheva has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (265-192). 1-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gracheva has a compiled 77-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Gracheva has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Eva Lys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-17 | 10-7 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-17 | 12-7 | 13-8 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-20 | 17-9 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 6-4 | 14-8 | 19-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 21-17 | 6-3 | 10-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 128, Eva reached the 2nd round after defeating Hanne Vandewinkel 6-4 6-3, Arina Rodionova 7-5 6-4 and Kimberly Birrell 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Eva had a good straight sets win against Birrell (6-2 6-2). During the match Lys scored 57 points vs Birrell’s 37. Lys was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about serving, Lys fired 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Eva Lys lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Lys put 50% of her first serves in, winning 73% (16/22) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Lys broke Birrell 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
The German has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 57 |
| Pts | 65-48 | 208-161 |
| Total Points | 113 | 369 |
| Winners | 28 | 70 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Gracheva played 1 match while Lys competed in 3 matches. Lys started her run from the qualifications while Gracheva had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Gracheva has played 4 set(s) less than Lys (2 vs 6). Therefore, Gracheva played 38 games less than Lys. The French player scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 70 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 106/173 |
| %1st in | 67% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 70/106 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 32/67 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 48% |
Gracheva didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Lys made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Gracheva won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Lys won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 17 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 17/32 |
| % Converted | 44% | 53% |
| Conceded | 3 | 17 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 33% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
Gracheva broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player surrendered her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Eva broke her opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 McNally |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 65-48 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 39/58 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 28/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Lys | ||||||
| Q1 Vandewinkel |
Q2 Rodionova |
Q3 Aiava |
R1 Birrell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-1 2-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 82 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 79-64 | – | 57-37 | 208-161 | |
| Total points | 132 | 143 | 0 | 94 | 369 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 16 | 70 | ||
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 0% | 28% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | ||
| 1st in | 42/65 | 42/64 | / | 22/44 | 106/173 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 0% | 50% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 25/42 | / | 16/22 | 70/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 60% | 0% | 73% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 9/22 | / | 10/22 | 32/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 41% | 0% | 45% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | ||
| Converted | 3/6 | 7/15 | / | 7/11 | 17/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 47% | 0% | 64% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | ||
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/8 | 0/ | 2/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 38% | – | 40% | 153% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | ||
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWLLL
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