Jasmine Paolini and Renata Zarazua will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.141
Renata Zarazua -> 5.65
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Renata Zarazua
There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Renata Zarazua since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jasmine got to the 2nd round after defeating Sijia Wei 6-0 6-4.
In the 1st round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Wei (6-0 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 68 points vs Wei’s 49. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 73% of her first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Wei 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Paolini has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (313-232). 3-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an overall 107-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Paolini has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Renata Zarazua
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-9 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-30 | 25-15 | 18-11 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 63-31 | 21-12 | 37-16 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-24 | 5-14 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-21 | 14-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, the Mexican got to the 2nd round after beating Taylor Townsend 6-7(6) 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round against Townsend, Renata recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-1 6-2). During the match Zarazua scored 105 points vs Townsend’s 87. The Mexican was exceptionally aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Zarazua fired 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Renata Zarazua lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zarazua put 76% of her first serves in, winning 67% (51/76) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Renata broke Townsend 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
The Mexican has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 |
| Pts | 68-49 | 105-87 |
| Total Points | 117 | 192 |
| Winners | 33 | 51 |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% |
Both Paolini and Zarazua played 1 match. At the moment, Renata Zarazua lost 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t lost a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Zarazua (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paolini played 12 games less than Zarazua. Jasmine scored 33 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Mexican made 51 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 47/64 | 76/100 |
| %1st in | 73% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 51/76 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 54% |
Paolini recorded 2 aces . Zarazua blasted 3 aces . Paolini won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Zarazua won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 55% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Jasmine broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jasmine extremely effective on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 4 break points. Zarazua broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Mexican conceded her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R1 Wei |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 68-49 | 68-49 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/64 | 47/64 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Zarazua | |||
| R1 Townsend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 105-87 | 105-87 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 76/100 | 76/100 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 51/76 | 51/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
LLLWLWWLLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (0-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Donna VekicVekic – Harriet DartDart (4-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elise MertensMertens (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Belinda BencicBencic – Suzan LamensLamens (6-1 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clara TausonTauson – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Talia GibsonGibson (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Cristina BucsaBucsa (3-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Qinwen ZhengZheng (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- George BotezanBotezan – Lorenzo BocchiBocchi (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ronald SlobodchikovSlobodchikov – Simon FreundFreund (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Markus ErikssonEriksson – John Hallquist LithenHallquist Lithen (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras – Filip BergeviBergevi (7-63 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bart StevensStevens – Adil KalyanpurKalyanpur (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karl FribergFriberg – Marius RuzgasRuzgas (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Florian LakatLakat – Vladimir IvanovIvanov (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gustav HanssonHansson – Mark WhitehouseWhitehouse (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Destanee AiavaAiava – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Shuai ZhangZhang (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yafan WangWang – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Belinda BencicBencic (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction
