Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 13. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.33
Gabriel Diallo -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Gabriel Diallo
This will be the 3rd time that Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 6-2 5-7 6-3 in the final in Almaty back in 2024.
Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Gabriel Diallo – Almaty 20-October-2024
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-15 | 5-6 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Karen got to the 2nd round after beating Adrian Mannarino 7-6(5) 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-65 6-3 6-3). During the match, Khachanov scored 108 points vs Mannarino’s 79. Khachanov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Khachanov blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 65% of his first serves in, winning 83% (44/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Mannarino 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Khachanov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (317-215). 1-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has a compiled 128-89 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian has a composed 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Gabriel Diallo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-17 | 10-8 | 8-7 | 1-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86 (career-high), the Canadian got to the 2nd round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-7(1) 7-6(3) 5-7 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Canadian had a tough win against Nardi to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-71 7-63 5-7 6-1 6-2). During the match Diallo scored 176 points vs Nardi’s 158. Gabriel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 78 winners.
About the serving games, Diallo buried his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was very efficient on serve to win 75% (78/104) of his 1st serve and 51% (32/63) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Gabriel broke Nardi 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Gabriel has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 53 |
| Pts | 108-79 | 176-158 |
| Total Points | 187 | 334 |
| Winners | 44 | 78 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Khachanov and Diallo played 1 match. At the moment, Gabriel Diallo lost 2 sets while Karen Khachanov hasn’t lost a set so far. Khachanov has played 2 set(s) less than Diallo (3 vs 5). Therefore, Khachanov played 22 games less than Diallo. Khachanov scored 44 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian recorded 78 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 21 |
| 1st in | 53/81 | 104/167 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 44/53 | 78/104 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 32/63 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 51% |
Khachanov scored 6 aces . Diallo made 21 aces . Khachanov won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 60% | 44% |
| Conceded | 4 | 15 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 25% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Khachanov broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Karen lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Diallo broke his opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Diallo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | |||
| R1 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 108-79 | 108-79 | |
| Total points | 187 | 187 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/81 | 53/81 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 44/53 | 44/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 14/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Diallo | |||
| R1 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 7-63 5-7 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 53 | 53 | |
| pts | 176-158 | 176-158 | |
| Total points | 334 | 334 | |
| Winners | 78 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 21 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 104/167 | 104/167 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 78/104 | 78/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/63 | 32/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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