Dayana Yastremska and Danka Kovinic will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 13. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.114
Danka Kovinic -> 6.4
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Prediction and head to head Dayana Yastremska vs. Danka Kovinic
There is no head to head record between Dayana Yastremska and Danka Kovinic since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-13 | 8-7 | 5-4 | 4-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-22 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Dayana reached the 2nd round after defeating Mayar Sherif 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Sherif (6-1 6-4). During the match, Yastremska scored 67 points vs Sherif’s 49. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Yastremska blasted 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Dayana Yastremska was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Sherif 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Yastremska has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (234-170). 3-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Yastremska has a compiled 98-79 record in the last years on hard.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Danka Kovinic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-16 | 4-8 | 10-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-21 | 6-8 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-12 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 896, Danka reached the 2nd round after beating Lulu Sun 6-3 7-5.
In the 1st round, The had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-3 7-5). During the match Kovinic scored 75 points vs Sun’s 59. The was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovinic recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Danka Kovinic was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (28/35) of her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Danka broke Sun 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Kovinic has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yastremska | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 |
| Pts | 67-49 | 75-59 |
| Total Points | 116 | 134 |
| Winners | 29 | 28 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Both Yastremska and Kovinic played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Yastremska and Kovinic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Yastremska played 4 games less than Kovinic. Yastremska scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The bagged 28 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yastremska | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 35/64 |
| %1st in | 58% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 28/35 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/29 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Yastremska fired 5 aces . Kovinic fired 4 aces . Yastremska won 76% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yastremska | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Dayana broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Yastremska very solid her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 6 break points. Kovinic broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Yastremska | |||
| R1 Sherif |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 67-49 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 38/66 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kovinic | |||
| R1 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 75-59 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/64 | 35/64 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWLWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Destanee AiavaAiava – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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