Madison Keys and Elena Gabriela Ruse will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Australian Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.103
Elena Gabriela Ruse -> 6.8

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Elena Gabriela Ruse

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Elena Gabriela Ruse since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 14, Keys reached the 2^nd round after beating Ann Li 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Li (6-4 7-5). During the match, Keys scored 65 points vs Li’s 58. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys recorded 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Madison Keys was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (32/44) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Madison was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Li 3 times.

Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (235-124). 8-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an aggregate 141-74 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1.

Keys has an aggregate 8-1 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Elena Gabriela Ruse

Ranked no. 125, the Romanian got to the 2^nd round after beating Leonie Kung 6-1 6-1, Anna-Lena Friedsam 3-6 6-3 6-4, Emina Bektas 6-2 7-5 and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-4 6-0.

In the 1^st round, Gabriela Ruse had a good straight sets win against Begu (6-4 6-0). During the match Gabriela Ruse scored 60 points vs Begu’s 38. The Romanian was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Gabriela Ruse fired 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Elena Gabriela Ruse was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Gabriela Ruse broke Begu 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Elena has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Keys	Gabriela Ruse
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	2	9
Tot Games	22	78
Pts	65-58	279-210
Total Points	123	489
Winners	32	95
%Winners	49%	34%

Keys played 1 match while Gabriela Ruse competed in 4 matches. Gabriela Ruse started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Elena Gabriela Ruse dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t conceded a set so far. Keys has played 7 set(s) less than Gabriela Ruse (2 vs 9). Therefore, Keys played 56 games less than Gabriela Ruse. The American scored 32 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian managed to score 95 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Keys	Gabriela Ruse
Aces	6	13
Avg per match	6	3.3
1st in	44/62	128/231
%1st in	71%	55%
1st pts	32/44	95/128
%1st pts	73%	74%
2nd pts	10/18	59/103
%2nd pts	56%	57%

Keys struck 6 aces . Gabriela Ruse managed to score 13 aces (3.3 per match). Keys won 73% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Gabriela Ruse won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Keys	Gabriela Ruse
Won	3	19
Converted	3/3	19/38
% Converted	100%	50%
Conceded	4	17
Saved	3	11
% Saved	75%	65%
Times Broken	1	6

The American broke her opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
	R1 Li	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	65-58	65-58
Total points	123	123
Winners	32	32
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	44/62	44/62
% 1st in	71%	71%
1st pts	32/44	32/44
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	10/18	10/18
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/3	3/3
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Gabriela Ruse
	Q1 Kung	Q2 Friedsam	Q3 Bektas	R1 Begu	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-2 7-5	6-4 6-0
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	14	28	20	16	78
pts	53-22	86-83	80-67	60-38	279-210
Total points	75	169	147	98	489
Winners	14	30	31	20	95
%Winners	26%	35%	39%	33%	34%
SERVE
Aces	0	3	7	3	13
Double Faults	2	6	4	1	13
1st in	19/35	42/80	41/72	26/44	128/231
% 1st in	54%	53%	57%	59%	55%
1st pts	14/19	30/42	31/41	20/26	95/128
% 1st pts	74%	71%	76%	77%	74%
2nd pts	12/16	17/38	18/31	12/18	59/103
% 2nd pts	75%	45%	58%	67%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	5	3	5	19
Converted	6/8	5/13	3/9	5/8	19/38
Converted %	75%	38%	33%	63%	50%
Conceded	1	5	8	3	17
Saved	0/1	1/5	8/8	2/3	11
Saved %	0%	20%	100%	67%	187%
Times Broken	1	4	0	1	6

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Cristina BucsaBucsa (3-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (0-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Talia GibsonGibson (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6⁸) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Elise MertensMertens (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Clara TausonTauson – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Belinda BencicBencic – Suzan LamensLamens (6-1 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Qinwen ZhengZheng (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Donna VekicVekic – Harriet DartDart (4-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Markus ErikssonEriksson – John Hallquist LithenHallquist Lithen (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras – Filip BergeviBergevi (7-6³ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Bart StevensStevens – Adil KalyanpurKalyanpur (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karl FribergFriberg – Marius RuzgasRuzgas (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Florian LakatLakat – Vladimir IvanovIvanov (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gustav HanssonHansson – Mark WhitehouseWhitehouse (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• George BotezanBotezan – Lorenzo BocchiBocchi (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ronald SlobodchikovSlobodchikov – Simon FreundFreund (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Danka KovinicKovinic – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Shuai ZhangZhang (5-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yafan WangWang – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Belinda BencicBencic (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction