Alex Michelsen and James McCabe will face off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.22
James McCabe -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. James McCabe
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and James McCabe play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Michelsen won 7-6(5) 3-6 6-1 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2024.
Highlights Alex Michelsen vs James McCabe – Australian Open 16-January-2024
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 6-3 2-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (7-5 6-3 2-6 6-4). During the match, Michelsen scored 122 points vs Tsitsipas’s 118. Michelsen was quite aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen blasted 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (59/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Tsitsipas 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Michelsen has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (133-73). 4-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Michelsen has a composed74-37 record in the last 4 years on hard.
Michelsen has an overall 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
James McCabe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-19 | 14-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-35 | 47-28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 258, McCabe got to the 2nd round after beating Martin Landaluce 6-4 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Landaluce (6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match McCabe scored 100 points vs Landaluce’s 74. James was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.
About the serving games, McCabe recorded 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. James McCabe was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (52/63) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. James broke Landaluce 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
McCabe has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 29 |
| Pts | 122-118 | 100-74 |
| Total Points | 240 | 174 |
| Winners | 59 | 52 |
| %Winners | 48% | 52% |
Both Michelsen and McCabe played 1 match. At the moment, Alex Michelsen dropped 1 set while James McCabe hasn’t conceded a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set more than McCabe (4 vs 3). Therefore, Michelsen played 10 games more than McCabe. Michelsen scored 59 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, James recorded 52 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 14 |
| 1st in | 85/124 | 63/82 |
| %1st in | 69% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 59/85 | 52/63 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 12/19 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 63% |
Michelsen blasted 8 aces . McCabe recorded 14 aces . Michelsen won 69% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, McCabe won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 42% | 33% |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 43% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Alex broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 122-118 | 122-118 | |
| Total points | 240 | 240 | |
| Winners | 59 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 85/124 | 85/124 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 59/85 | 59/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 20/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| McCabe | |||
| R1 Landaluce |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 100-74 | 100-74 | |
| Total points | 174 | 174 | |
| Winners | 52 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 63/82 | 63/82 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 52/63 | 52/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLLWW
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