Lorenzo Sonego and Joao Fonseca will face off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on 1573 Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.28
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Joao Fonseca
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Sonego and Joao Fonseca clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fonseca (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Fonseca won 7-6(5) 7-5 in the 1st round in Bucharest back in 2024.
Highlights Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego – Bucharest 16-April-2024
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-11 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, Lorenzo got to the 2nd round after defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Wawrinka (6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5). During the match, Sonego scored 127 points vs Wawrinka’s 117. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sonego bagged 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (69/82) of his 1st serve and 54% (27/50) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sonego broke Wawrinka 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Sonego has positive record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (291-244). 3-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sonego has a compiled 76-78 match record in the last years on hard.
Lorenzo has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-6 | 17-3 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112 (career-high), Joao got to the 2nd round after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-0, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-0 6-3, Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-4 6-1 and Andrey Rublev 7-6(1) 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Fonseca had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-61 6-3 7-65). During the match Fonseca scored 122 points vs Rublev’s 103. Fonseca was very aggressive to blast 66 winners.
Talking about serving, Fonseca struck 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Joao Fonseca was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (66/84) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Rublev twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4.
Fonseca has an aggregate 9-0 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sonego | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 83 |
| Pts | 127-117 | 318-225 |
| Total Points | 244 | 543 |
| Winners | 69 | 136 |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% |
Sonego played 1 match while Fonseca competed in 4 matches. Fonseca started his run from the qualifications while Sonego had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego conceded 1 set while Joao Fonseca hasn’t lost a set so far. Sonego has played 5 set(s) less than Fonseca (4 vs 9). Therefore, Sonego played 37 games less than Fonseca. The Italian scored 69 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian fired 136 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sonego | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6.8 |
| 1st in | 82/132 | 166/241 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 69/82 | 136/166 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 46/75 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Sonego fired 12 aces . Fonseca blasted 27 aces (6.8 per match). Sonego won 84% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sonego | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 15 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 15/41 |
| % Converted | 80% | 37% |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Saved | 9 | 10 |
| % Saved | 82% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Sonego broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Sonego surrendered his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Fonseca broke his opponents 15 times with a 37% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sonego | |||
| R1 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 46 | |
| pts | 127-117 | 127-117 | |
| Total points | 244 | 244 | |
| Winners | 69 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 82/132 | 82/132 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 69/82 | 69/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Fonseca | ||||||
| Q1 Agustin |
Q2 Lam Coleman Wong |
Q3 Agustin |
R1 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-61 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 17 | 35 | 83 | |
| pts | 66-39 | 59-34 | 71-49 | 122-103 | 318-225 | |
| Total points | 105 | 93 | 120 | 225 | 543 | |
| Winners | 21 | 24 | 25 | 66 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 35% | 54% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 24/37 | 28/38 | 30/46 | 84/120 | 166/241 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 74% | 65% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 24/28 | 25/30 | 66/84 | 136/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 86% | 83% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/13 | 5/10 | 11/16 | 19/36 | 46/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 85% | 50% | 69% | 53% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/8 | 4/13 | 2/10 | 15/41 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 63% | 31% | 20% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 100% | 83% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLLLW
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