Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno-Busta will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 4 sets.
Ben Shelton -> 1.26
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 3.85
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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
There is no head to head record between Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-24 | 23-9 | 7-5 | 4-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Ben got to the 2nd round after defeating Brandon Nakashima 7-6(3) 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, Shelton had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (7-63 7-5 7-5). During the match, Shelton scored 116 points vs Nakashima’s 108. The American was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shelton fired 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was very efficient on serve to win 73% (49/67) of his 1st serve and 65% (30/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ben broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Shelton has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (129-71). 1-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has an overall67-39 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American has a composed 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182, Carreno-Busta got to the 2nd round after defeating Kamil Majchrzak 6-4 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Majchrzak (6-4 6-4 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 93 points vs Majchrzak’s 81. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Carreno-Busta struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was very efficient on serve to win 74% (46/62) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Majchrzak 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Carreno-Busta has an overall 2-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018, 2019 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shelton | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 29 |
| Pts | 116-108 | 93-81 |
| Total Points | 224 | 174 |
| Winners | 49 | 46 |
| %Winners | 42% | 49% |
Both Shelton and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shelton played 8 games more than Carreno-Busta. Shelton scored 49 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo bagged 46 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shelton | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6 |
| 1st in | 67/113 | 62/86 |
| %1st in | 59% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 46/62 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 30/46 | 14/24 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 58% |
Shelton recorded 12 aces . Carreno-Busta struck 6 aces . Shelton won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shelton | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Shelton broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Shelton dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Shelton | |||
| R1 Nakashima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 116-108 | |
| Total points | 224 | 224 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 67/113 | 67/113 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 49/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/46 | 30/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Majchrzak | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 93-81 | 93-81 | |
| Total points | 174 | 174 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 62/86 | 62/86 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 46/62 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-4 6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-2 6-4 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-61 6-75 7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-0 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Casper RuudRuud (6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Hady HabibHabib (6-3 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jaime FariaFaria (6-1 6-74 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 3-6 2-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hugo GastonGaston (6-3 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur FilsFils – Quentin HalysHalys (6-2 4-6 7-62 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christian GarinGarin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-2) – H2H and prediction