Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.176
Learner Tien -> 4.95
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Learner Tien
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Medvedev reached the 2nd round after beating Kasidit Samrej 6-2 4-6 3-6 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a tough win against Samrej to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-2 4-6 3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 148 points vs Samrej’s 111. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev overpowered his opponent with 24 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was quite efficient on serve to win 91% (53/58) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Medvedev broke Samrej 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Medvedev has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (458-182). 1-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 224-68 match record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Learner Tien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-13 | 11-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-14 | 53-8 | 0-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-10 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Learner reached the 2nd round after beating Gregoire Barrere 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1, Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 6-2, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4 and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, Tien had a tough win against Ugo Carabelli to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 7-63 6-3 5-7 6-4). During the match Tien scored 174 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 172. Tien was very aggressive to blast 74 winners.
About the serving games, Tien made 7 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 16 double faults. Learner Tien lost the serve 7 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 61% of his first serves in, winning 73% (74/102) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (29/66) on the 2nd serve. Tien broke Ugo Carabelli 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).
Learner has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 121 |
| Pts | 148-111 | 413-361 |
| Total Points | 259 | 774 |
| Winners | 53 | 166 |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Tien competed in 4 matches. Tien started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 2 sets, while Learner Tien surrendered 3 sets. Medvedev has played 7 set(s) less than Tien (5 vs 12). Therefore, Medvedev played 79 games less than Tien. Daniil scored 53 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 166 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 24 | 8 |
| 1st in | 58/104 | 217/371 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 53/58 | 166/217 |
| %1st pts | 91% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 77/154 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 50% |
Medvedev managed to score 24 aces . Tien scored 32 aces (8 per match). Medvedev won 91% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 18 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 18/39 |
| % Converted | 46% | 46% |
| Conceded | 6 | 32 |
| Saved | 4 | 21 |
| % Saved | 67% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 11 |
Medvedev broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Tien conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R1 Samrej |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 3-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 42 | 42 | |
| pts | 148-111 | 148-111 | |
| Total points | 259 | 259 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 24 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 58/104 | 58/104 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 53/58 | 53/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Tien | ||||||
| Q1 Barrere |
Q2 Pablo Ficovich |
Q3 Kovalik |
R1 Ugo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-64 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 7-63 6-3 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 19 | 54 | 121 | |
| pts | 111-98 | 68-44 | 60-47 | 174-172 | 413-361 | |
| Total points | 209 | 112 | 107 | 346 | 774 | |
| Winners | 35 | 32 | 25 | 74 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 32 | |
| 1st in | 50/98 | 37/51 | 28/54 | 102/168 | 217/371 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 73% | 52% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 32/37 | 25/28 | 74/102 | 166/217 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 86% | 89% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 8/14 | 16/26 | 29/66 | 77/154 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 62% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 7/20 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 67% | 35% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 32 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 7/14 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 319% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
LLLWLLLWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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