Rio Noguchi and Murphy Cassone will square off in the 2^nd round of the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT B. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Murphy Cassone who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Murphy Cassone is the pick to win this match.
Murphy Cassone -> 1.48
Rio Noguchi -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Murphy Cassone

This will be the 2^nd time that Rio Noguchi and Murphy Cassone clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Noguchi won 7-5 6-7(4) 6-3 in the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger back in January 2025.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 254, the Japanese got to the 2^nd round after defeating Yuttana Charoenphon 6-2 7-6(5), Andre Ilagan 6-4 7-5 and Timofey Skatov 6-1 6-3.

In the 1^st round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Skatov (6-1 6-3). During the match, Noguchi scored 63 points vs Skatov’s 37. Noguchi was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Rio Noguchi was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Skatov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Noguchi has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (337-229). 8-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Noguchi has an overall 232-141 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

Rio has a compiled 8-1 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger

Murphy Cassone

Ranked no. 306 (career-high), Murphy got to the 2^nd round after defeating Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 6-3, Enrico Dalla Valle w/o and Valentin Vacherot 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, The American defeated Dalla Valle (w/o). During the match Cassone and Dalla Valle scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 254 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Cassone couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Murphy Cassone conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger.

Murphy has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Cassone
Match played	3	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	59	44
Pts	209-156	163-137
Total Points	365	300
Winners	85	76
%Winners	41%	47%

Noguchi played 3 matches while Cassone competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Murphy Cassone dropped 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t lost a set so far. Noguchi has played 1 set more than Cassone (6 vs 5). Therefore, Noguchi played 15 games more than Cassone. The Japanese scored 85 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Murphy bagged 76 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Cassone
Aces	4	7
Avg per match	1.3	3.5
1st in	118/160	116/168
%1st in	74%	69%
1st pts	85/118	76/116
%1st pts	72%	66%
2nd pts	25/42	30/52
%2nd pts	60%	58%

Noguchi fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Cassone fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Noguchi won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Cassone won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Cassone
Won	13	9
Converted	13/28	9/13
% Converted	46%	69%
Conceded	12	16
Saved	7	12
% Saved	58%	75%
Times Broken	5	4

The Japanese broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Noguchi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Cassone broke his opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Cassone conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
	Q1 Charoenphon	Q3 Ilagan	R1 Skatov	Total
Score	6-2 7-65	6-4 7-5	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	22	16	59
pts	76-57	70-62	63-37	209-156
Total points	133	132	100	365
Winners	29	31	25	85
%Winners	38%	44%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	1	4
Double Faults	0	1	1	2
1st in	41/57	47/62	30/41	118/160
% 1st in	72%	76%	73%	74%
1st pts	29/41	31/47	25/30	85/118
% 1st pts	71%	66%	83%	72%
2nd pts	10/16	6/15	9/11	25/42
% 2nd pts	63%	40%	82%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	13
Converted	4/10	5/10	4/8	13/28
Converted %	40%	50%	50%	46%
Conceded	5	6	1	12
Saved	3/5	3/6	1/1	7
Saved %	60%	50%	100%	70%
Times Broken	2	3	0	5

Cassone
	Q1 Blancaneaux	Q3 Dalla Valle	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	w/o
Tot Set	2	–	2
Tot Games	17	–	17
pts	59-39	–	59-39
Total points	98	–	98
Winners	27	–	27
%Winners	46%	–	46%
SERVE
Aces	3	–	3
Double Faults	1	–	1
1st in	37/48	–	37/48
% 1st in	77%	–	77%
1st pts	27/37	–	27/37
% 1st pts	73%	–	73%
2nd pts	8/11	–	8/11
% 2nd pts	73%	–	73%
Breaks
Won	5	–	5
Converted	5/7	–	5/7
Converted %	71%	–	71%
Conceded	6	–	6
Saved	5/6	–	5
Saved %	83%	–	28%
Times Broken	1	–	1

Tennis Scores in Nonthaburi 3 Challenger

• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Remy BertolaBertola (7-6⁰ 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon HoltHolt – Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Benjamin HassanHassan (7-6² 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Thanapet ChantaChanta (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Murphy CassoneCassone – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Clement TaburTabur – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Tung-Lin WuWu – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Nick HardtHardt (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Henri SquireSquire – Maximus JonesJones (7-6⁰ ret.) – See score progression
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Remy BertolaBertola (7-6(0) 7-5) – See score progression
• Clement TaburTabur – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Tung-Lin WuWu (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Henri SquireSquire (1-0) – H2H and prediction