Sho Shimabukuro and Federico Arnaboldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:30 am on COURT A. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.28
Federico Arnaboldi -> 3.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Federico Arnaboldi
There is no head to head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Sho Shimabukuro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 191, Shimabukuro reached the 2nd round after defeating Antoine Escoffier 2-6 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round against Escoffier, Shimabukuro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-1). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 79 points vs Escoffier’s 65. Sho was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shimabukuro fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 55% of his first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Escoffier 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Shimabukuro has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (243-148). 2-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Shimabukuro has a compiled 180-105 match record in the last years on hard.
Shimabukuro has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
Federico Arnaboldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 233, Federico got to the 2nd round after defeating Dmitry Popko 6-1 2-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Arnaboldi defeated Popko (6-1 2-6 6-1). During the match Arnaboldi scored 82 points vs Popko’s 66. Arnaboldi was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaboldi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 58% of his first serves in, winning 59% (29/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Popko 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Federico has a composed 1-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
Federico has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimabukuro | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 |
| Pts | 79-65 | 82-66 |
| Total Points | 144 | 148 |
| Winners | 23 | 29 |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% |
Both Shimabukuro and Arnaboldi played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Sho Shimabukuro surrendered 1 set, while Federico Arnaboldi dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Arnaboldi have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shimabukuro played 1 game more than Arnaboldi. Sho scored 23 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 29 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimabukuro | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 1 |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 49/84 |
| %1st in | 55% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 23/38 | 29/49 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 20/35 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 57% |
Shimabukuro blasted 9 aces . Arnaboldi blasted 1 ace . Shimabukuro won 61% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 59% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimabukuro | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Arnaboldi broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shimabukuro | |||
| R1 Escoffier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 79-65 | 79-65 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 38/69 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/38 | 23/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 19/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Arnaboldi | |||
| R1 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 82-66 | 82-66 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/84 | 49/84 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 20/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWL
LLLLLWWLL Tennis Scores in Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
- Brandon HoltHolt – Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Thanapet ChantaChanta (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Benjamin HassanHassan (7-62 7-64) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Murphy CassoneCassone – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Nick HardtHardt (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Henri SquireSquire – Maximus JonesJones (7-60 ret.) – See score progression
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Murphy CassoneCassone – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Benjamin HassanHassan (7-6(2) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Brandon HoltHolt – Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Clement TaburTabur – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Thanapet ChantaChanta (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Tung-Lin WuWu (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Henri SquireSquire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
