Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro will square off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:30 am on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.02
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro -> 13.75
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 6-0 | 6-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the 2nd round after beating Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 63 points vs Stephens’s 46. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 70% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Stephens 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (380-168). 6-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled 233-92 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has a composed 6-0 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 50-24 | 18-12 | 21-9 | 9-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 37-27 | 4-4 | 27-18 | 3-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 67-27 | 27-8 | 40-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
2021 | 45-20 | 7-5 | 38-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, Bouzas reached the 2nd round after beating Sonay Kartal 6-1 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Kartal (6-1 7-65). During the match Bouzas scored 72 points vs Kartal’s 55. Bouzas was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Bouzas wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bouzas put 68% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Kartal 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Bouzas has a composed 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Bouzas |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
Pts | 63-46 | 72-55 |
Total Points | 109 | 127 |
Winners | 22 | 28 |
%Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Sabalenka and Bouzas played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bouzas have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 3 games less than Bouzas. The Belarussian scored 22 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 28 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Bouzas |
---|---|---|
Aces | 2 | 0 |
Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
1st in | 32/46 | 42/62 |
%1st in | 70% | 68% |
1st pts | 22/32 | 28/42 |
%1st pts | 69% | 67% |
2nd pts | 8/14 | 11/20 |
%2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Sabalenka made 2 aces . Bouzas didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Bouzas won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Bouzas |
---|---|---|
Won | 5 | 5 |
Converted | 5/13 | 5/7 |
% Converted | 38% | 71% |
Conceded | 2 | 3 |
Saved | 0 | 1 |
% Saved | 0% | 33% |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Aryna broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Bouzas conceded her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||
R1 Stephens |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 63-46 | 63-46 | |
Total points | 109 | 109 | |
Winners | 22 | 22 | |
%Winners | 35% | 35% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 32/46 | 32/46 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
1st pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
% 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
% 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Bouzas | |||
R1 Kartal |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 7-65 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
pts | 72-55 | 72-55 | |
Total points | 127 | 127 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | |
%Winners | 39% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 0 | 0 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 42/62 | 42/62 | |
% 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
1st pts | 28/42 | 28/42 | |
% 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
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