H2H, prediction of Kamil Majchrzak vs Pablo Carreno-Busta at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 14th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Majchrzak and Carreno-Busta will face off in the 1st round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Tuesday the 14th of January

Prediction and head to head Kamil Majchrzak vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

Kamil Majchrzak and Pablo Carreno-Busta will play each other in the 1st round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on Court 8. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.49
Kamil Majchrzak -> 2.62

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Kamil Majchrzak vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 3rd time that Kamil Majchrzak and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Majchrzak (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Majchrzak won 7-5 4-6 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in the Poznan Challenger back in 2024.

Kamil Majchrzak

Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil Majchrzak

3 - 0win/loss

Hard
3-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
109
High
75
LLLLLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-13 8-3 11-5 2-2 0-3 0-0
2024 63-19 26-6 34-8 3-5 0-0 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 28-22 19-10 4-6 4-3 1-3 0-0
2021 34-21 4-4 16-9 5-5 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 117, Kamil got to the 1st round after beating Marco Trungelliti 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3, Zachary Svajda 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2 and Billy Harris 7-5 6-2.

In the qualifications, Kamil had a good straight sets win against Harris (7-5 6-2). During the match, Majchrzak scored 80 points vs Harris’s 63. Kamil was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Majchrzak struck 10 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Kamil Majchrzak lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Majchrzak put 65% of his first serves in, winning 77% (33/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Kamil broke Harris 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Majchrzak started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Majchrzak has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (324-183). 3-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Majchrzak has an aggregate 98-48 record in the last years on hard.

Majchrzak has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Majchrzak
Australian Open
Majchrzak's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

1 - 3win/loss

Hard
1-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
92
High
10
LWWLLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-17 13-5 9-11 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 184, the Spaniard will start his run at the Melbourne after he played his last match in Auckland where he lost 6-2 4-6 7-5 to Mensik in the 1st round on the 7th of January.

Pablo has an overall 1-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, The Spaniard has an overall 572-330 record. He has a positive 174-99 record on hard.

Carreno-Busta
Australian Open
Carreno-Busta's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Majchrzak
LLLLLLLWWW
Carreno-Busta
LWWLLWLLWL
2025 2024 2023
20 - 13
23 - 17
8-3
Hard
13-5
1-2
I Hard
1-1
11-5
Clay
9-11

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw