Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.36
Joao Fonseca -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Joao Fonseca
There is no head to head record between Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-10 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Russian will start his run at the Australian Open after he played his last match in Hong Kong where he lost 7-5 3-6 6-3 to Marozsan in the 2nd round on the 2nd of January.
Andrey has a compiled 0-1 win-loss record in 2025, 0-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Rublev has an overall 478-263 record. He has a positive 191-98 record on hard.
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-6 | 17-3 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113 (career-high), the Brazilian got to the 1st round after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-0, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-0 6-3 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-4 6-1). During the match Fonseca scored 71 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 49. Fonseca was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Fonseca blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Joao broke Agustin Tirante 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4.
Fonseca has an aggregate 8-0 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
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