Karue Sell and Oleksandr Ovcharenko will face off in the qualifications of the Oeiras 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karue Sell who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karue Sell is the pick to win this match.
Karue Sell -> 1.36
Oleksandr Ovcharenko -> 2.94
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Prediction and head to head Karue Sell vs. Oleksandr Ovcharenko
There is no head to head record between Karue Sell and Oleksandr Ovcharenko since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Karue Sell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-20 | 24-11 | 21-6 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 260, Sell got to the qualifications after defeating Tomas Antonio Serrano Luis 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Antonio Serrano Luis (6-4 6-1). During the match, Sell scored 67 points vs Antonio Serrano Luis’s 43. Karue was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sell struck 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Karue Sell lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sell put 49% of his first serves in, winning 83% (25/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Antonio Serrano Luis 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Sell has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (141-52). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sell has a compiled21-10 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Karue has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 2 Challenger
Sell has never competed in this tournament before.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 67-23 | 5-4 | 62-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-5 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-26 | 13-6 | 38-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-25 | 1-3 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 308 (career-high), Ovcharenko reached the qualifications after defeating Aidan Mayo 6-4 7-6(6).
In the qualifications, Oleksandr had a good straight sets win against Mayo (6-4 7-66). During the match Ovcharenko scored 78 points vs Mayo’s 73. Ovcharenko was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Ovcharenko scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Oleksandr Ovcharenko lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ovcharenko put 62% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Ovcharenko broke Mayo 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sell | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 |
| Pts | 67-43 | 78-73 |
| Total Points | 110 | 151 |
| Winners | 25 | 31 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Both Sell and Ovcharenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sell and Ovcharenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sell played 6 games less than Ovcharenko. The Brazilian scored 25 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Oleksandr struck 31 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sell | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 47/76 |
| %1st in | 49% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 31/47 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 12/29 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 41% |
Sell scored 3 aces . Ovcharenko managed to score 2 aces . Sell won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Ovcharenko won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sell | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 67% | 71% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Karue broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Sell lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Ovcharenko broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Ovcharenko conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sell | |||
| Q1 Antonio Serrano Luis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 67-43 | 67-43 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 30/61 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ovcharenko | |||
| Q1 Mayo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-73 | 78-73 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 47/76 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 31/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 12/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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