Rio Noguchi and Andre Ilagan will square off in the qualifications of the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT A. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.615
Andre Ilagan -> 2.19
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Andre Ilagan
There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and Andre Ilagan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-8 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, Noguchi reached the qualifications after defeating Yuttana Charoenphon 6-2 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Charoenphon (6-2 7-65). During the match, Noguchi scored 76 points vs Charoenphon’s 57. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Noguchi bagged 2 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Rio Noguchi was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Noguchi broke Charoenphon 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Noguchi has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (335-229). 6-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has an overall 230-141 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he beat Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
The Japanese has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
Andre Ilagan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 389, Andre reached the qualifications after beating Aslan Karatsev 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, Andre had a good straight sets win against Karatsev (6-0 6-4). During the match Ilagan scored 66 points vs Karatsev’s 44. Andre was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Ilagan managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andre Ilagan lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ilagan put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (31/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Karatsev 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
The American has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 |
| Pts | 76-57 | 66-44 |
| Total Points | 133 | 110 |
| Winners | 29 | 31 |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% |
Both Noguchi and Ilagan played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and Ilagan have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Noguchi played 5 games more than Ilagan. Rio scored 29 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 31 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7 |
| 1st in | 41/57 | 45/63 |
| %1st in | 72% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 31/45 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 9/18 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 50% |
Noguchi scored 2 aces . Ilagan managed to score 7 aces . Noguchi won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Ilagan won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 40% | 83% |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Noguchi lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Andre broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | |||
| Q1 Charoenphon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 76-57 | 76-57 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/57 | 41/57 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 29/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Ilagan | |||
| Q1 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 66-44 | 66-44 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 45/63 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 31/45 | 31/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWLLL
LLWLLWWWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Clement TaburTabur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian LangmoLangmo – Remy BertolaBertola (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Nick HardtHardt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Tung-Lin WuWu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanapet ChantaChanta – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Corentin DenollyDenolly (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pawit SornlaksupSornlaksup – Fajing SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
