Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 1st round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.44
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 4th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 6-3 4-6 7-6(6) in the 2nd round in Bastad back in 2023.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi – Bastad 19-July-2023
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 6-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Italian will start his run at the Australian Open after he played his last match in Hong Kong where he lost 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 to Munar Clar in the quarter on the 3rd of January.
Lorenzo has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Lorenzo has an overall 221-162 record. He has a positive 51-47 record on hard.
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-15 | 6-6 | 7-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Matteo will start his run at the Melbourne after he played his last match in Brisbane where he lost 7-6(9) 7-6(4) to Opelka in the 2nd round on the 2nd of January.
Matteo has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, The Italian has an overall 217-135 record. He has a positive 75-42 record on hard.
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
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