Hamad Medjedovic and Liam Draxl will face off in the final of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hamad Medjedovic who should win in 3 sets.
Hamad Medjedovic -> 1.55
Liam Draxl -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Hamad Medjedovic vs. Liam Draxl
There is no head to head record between Hamad Medjedovic and Liam Draxl since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Hamad Medjedovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-21 | 6-6 | 6-5 | 14-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-21 | 9-6 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-23 | 10-5 | 22-9 | 11-7 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-24 | 12-10 | 28-6 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-13 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112, Hamad got to the final after beating Egor Gerasimov 1-6 7-6(4) 6-4, Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-1 2-1 ret., Zsombor Piros 6-3 6-3 and Daniel Rincon 6-7(2) 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal against Rincon, Medjedovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 7-5). During the match, Medjedovic scored 114 points vs Rincon’s 110. The Serbian was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medjedovic fired 14 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Hamad Medjedovic was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (45/63) of his 1st serve and 67% (32/48) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hamad broke Rincon twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hamad has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Medjedovic has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (149-84). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medjedovic has an aggregate30-20 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Medjedovic’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.
The Serbian has an aggregate 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger
Liam Draxl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-29 | 20-13 | 10-5 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246, Liam reached the final after beating Jeff Wolf 5-7 6-2 6-4, Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 3-6 6-1 7-6(7), Alexander Ritschard 6-4 6-1 and Rudolf Molleker 7-6(6) 6-0.
In the semifinal, Draxl had a good straight sets win against Molleker (7-66 6-0). During the match Draxl scored 66 points vs Molleker’s 50. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Draxl blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Liam Draxl conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 76% of his first serves in, winning 93% (38/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (5/13) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Molleker 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Liam’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.
The Canadian has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medjedovic | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 95 |
| Pts | 315-283 | 333-281 |
| Total Points | 598 | 614 |
| Winners | 126 | 162 |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% |
Both Medjedovic and Draxl played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hamad Medjedovic lost 2 sets, while Liam Draxl conceded 2 sets. Medjedovic has played 1 set more than Draxl (11 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Medjedovic played 2 games less than Draxl. Medjedovic scored 126 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian made 162 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medjedovic | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 180/291 | 209/313 |
| %1st in | 62% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 126/180 | 162/209 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 62/111 | 45/104 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 43% |
Medjedovic fired 30 aces (7.5 per match). Draxl recorded 23 aces (5.8 per match). Medjedovic won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Draxl won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medjedovic | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 16 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 16/39 |
| % Converted | 48% | 41% |
| Conceded | 16 | 23 |
| Saved | 9 | 16 |
| % Saved | 56% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Serbian lost his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Draxl broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medjedovic | ||||||
| R1 Gerasimov | R2 Ferreira Silva | 1/4 Piros | 1/2 Rincon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-64 6-4 | 6-1 2-1 ret. | 6-3 6-3 | 6-72 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 10 | 18 | 35 | 93 | |
| pts | 104-105 | 38-21 | 59-47 | 114-110 | 315-283 | |
| Total points | 209 | 59 | 106 | 224 | 598 | |
| Winners | 40 | 17 | 24 | 45 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 56/96 | 20/25 | 41/59 | 63/111 | 180/291 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 80% | 69% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 40/56 | 17/20 | 24/41 | 45/63 | 126/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 85% | 59% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/40 | 3/5 | 10/18 | 32/48 | 62/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 60% | 56% | 67% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/14 | 3/5 | 6/6 | 2/4 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 21% | 60% | 100% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 56% | – | 25% | 100% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Draxl | ||||||
| R1 Wolf | R2 Vincent | 1/4 Ritschard | 1/2 Molleker | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 6-1 7-67 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-66 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 95 | |
| pts | 99-92 | 111-103 | 57-36 | 66-50 | 333-281 | |
| Total points | 191 | 214 | 93 | 116 | 614 | |
| Winners | 44 | 56 | 24 | 38 | 162 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 59/101 | 77/111 | 32/47 | 41/54 | 209/313 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 69% | 68% | 76% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/59 | 56/77 | 24/32 | 38/41 | 162/209 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 73% | 75% | 93% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/42 | 13/34 | 10/15 | 5/13 | 45/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 38% | 67% | 38% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 3/15 | 4/6 | 3/3 | 16/39 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 7/9 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 78% | 67% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |