Sebastian Korda and Felix Auger-Aliassime will clash against each other in the final of the Adelaide International for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.9
Sebastian Korda -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 4th time that Sebastian Korda and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 6-4 in the final in Antwerp back in 2022.

Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Korda – Antwerp 23-October-2022

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

2 - 0win/loss

Hard
2-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
48
High
15
LWWWLWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-8 5-5 7-5 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 22, Sebastian reached the final after defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-3, Thanasi Kokkinakis w/o and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 7-64). During the match, Korda scored 69 points vs Kecmanovic’s 60. Korda was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Korda managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Korda was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (37/44) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kecmanovic once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Korda has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (244-156). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Korda has a compiled 101-65 match record in the last years on hard.

Sebastian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Korda has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Adelaide
Korda's Record

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime

4 - 1win/loss

Hard
4-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
5
High
5
LWWLLWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-25 24-10 3-6 17-5 6-4 0-0
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 29, Felix got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Arthur Cazaux 1-6 6-4 7-5, Marcos Giron 7-6(3) 6-3 and Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Auger-Aliassime defeated Paul (7-63 3-6 6-4).During the match Auger-Aliassime scored less points (6) than Paul. In fact, the world no. 22 won 99 points vs Paul’s. That means that Auger-Aliassime was more focused during the important points. Felix was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Auger-Aliassime fired 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (52/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (14/40) on the 2nd serve. Auger-Aliassime broke Paul 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Auger-Aliassime has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.

Adelaide
Auger-Aliassime's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Korda
F.Auger-Aliassime
2h:50
2h:50
Time on court​
!
6h:57
6h:57
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
!
2h:44
2h:44
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
40
40
Games Played​
83
83
4
4
Set played​​
8
8
143
143
Total points​
271
271
71.5
71.5
Avg point​
90.3
90.3
74
74
Winners
134
134
37
37
Avg Winners​
44.7
44.7
52%
52%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
31
31
!
10.5
10.5
Avg Aces
!
10.3
10.3
5
5
Double Faults
12
12
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
74/87
74/87
1st won total​
134/178
134/178
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
23/50
23/50
2nd won total​
38/91
38/91
46%
46%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
7/25
7/25
2/4
2/4
Avg BP won
2.3/8.3
2.3/8.3
50%
50%
Won
!
28%
28%
5
5
Conceded
27
27
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
9
9
0
0
Broken
6
6
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
21
21
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Korda Auger-Aliassime
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 8
Tot Games 40 83
Pts 143-118 271-264
Total Points 261 535
Winners 74 134
%Winners 52% 49%

Korda played 2 matches while Auger-Aliassime competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 2 sets while Sebastian Korda hasn’t dropped a set so far. Korda has played 4 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (4 vs 8). Therefore, Korda played 43 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Sebastian scored 74 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Felix fired 134 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Korda Auger-Aliassime
Aces 21 31
Avg per match 10.5 10.3
1st in 87/137 178/269
%1st in 64% 66%
1st pts 74/87 134/178
%1st pts 85% 75%
2nd pts 23/50 38/91
%2nd pts 46% 42%

Korda struck 21 aces (10.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime blasted 31 aces (10.3 per match). Korda won 85% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Korda Auger-Aliassime
Won 4 7
Converted 4/8 7/25
% Converted 50% 28%
Conceded 5 27
Saved 5 21
% Saved 100% 78%
Times Broken 0 6

Korda broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Korda was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 5 break points. The Canadian broke his opponents 7 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Korda
R2
Davidovich Fokina		 1/4
Kokkinakis		 1/2
Kecmanovic		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 w/o 6-3 7-64
Tot Set 2 – 2 4
Tot Games 18 – 22 40
pts 74-58 – 69-60 143-118
Total points 132 – 129 261
Winners 37 – 37 74
%Winners 50% – 54% 52%
SERVE
Aces 8 – 13 21
Double Faults 2 – 3 5
1st in 43/69 – 44/68 87/137
% 1st in 62% – 65% 64%
1st pts 37/43 – 37/44 74/87
% 1st pts 86% – 84% 85%
2nd pts 9/26 – 14/24 23/50
% 2nd pts 35% – 58% 46%
Breaks
Won 3 – 1 4
Converted 3/7 – 1/1 4/8
Converted % 43% – 100% 50%
Conceded 5 – 0 5
Saved 5/5 – 0/0 5
Saved % 100% – – 33%
Times Broken 0 – 0 0
Auger-Aliassime
R2
Cazaux		 1/4
Giron		 1/2
Paul		 Total
Score 1-6 6-4 7-5 7-63 6-3 7-63 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 29 22 32 83
pts 91-92 81-67 99-105 271-264
Total points 183 148 204 535
Winners 39 43 52 134
%Winners 43% 53% 53% 49%
SERVE
Aces 12 11 8 31
Double Faults 5 3 4 12
1st in 54/83 54/76 70/110 178/269
% 1st in 65% 71% 64% 66%
1st pts 39/54 43/54 52/70 134/178
% 1st pts 72% 80% 74% 75%
2nd pts 14/29 10/22 14/40 38/91
% 2nd pts 48% 45% 35% 42%
Breaks
Won 2 2 3 7
Converted 2/9 2/8 3/8 7/25
Converted % 22% 25% 38% 28%
Conceded 6 9 12 27
Saved 4/6 9/9 8/12 21
Saved % 67% 100% 67% 78%
Times Broken 2 0 4 6

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-1) – H2H and prediction
Korda
More Stats
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Auger-Aliassime

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