Elise Mertens and Mccartney Kessler will face off in the final of the Hobart International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.51
Mccartney Kessler -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Mccartney Kessler
There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Mccartney Kessler since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Elise got to the final after beating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-3 6-1, Renata Zarazua 6-4 6-3, Veronika Kudermetova 6-1 0-6 6-2 and Maya Joint 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, Elise had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 64 points vs Joint’s 51. Mertens was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens fired 2 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 64% of her first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Joint 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (326-204). 4-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has a compiled 191-112 record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Hobart.
The Belgian has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Mccartney Kessler
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 28-13 | 2-6 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 21-12 | 11-7 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 8-2 | 6-2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-5 | 10-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 67, the American reached the final after defeating Rebecca Sramkova 6-3 7-5, Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 7-5 6-4 and Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Avanesyan, Kessler recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Kessler scored 90 points vs Avanesyan’s 81. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Kessler was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Mccartney Kessler lost the serve 6 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kessler put 59% of her first serves in, winning 54% (27/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Mccartney broke Avanesyan 8 times after converting 80% of her break points (8/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Hobart.
Kessler has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Mccartney has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 88 |
| Pts | 272-218 | 310-257 |
| Total Points | 490 | 567 |
| Winners | 95 | 109 |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% |
Both Mertens and Kessler played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elise Mertens lost 1 set, while Mccartney Kessler dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Kessler have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Mertens played 15 games less than Kessler. Mertens scored 95 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 109 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 128/236 | 178/272 |
| %1st in | 54% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 95/128 | 109/178 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 45/108 | 51/94 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 54% |
Mertens recorded 19 aces (4.8 per match). Kessler struck 7 aces (1.8 per match). Mertens won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Kessler won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 23 |
| Converted | 22/40 | 23/38 |
| % Converted | 55% | 61% |
| Conceded | 25 | 22 |
| Saved | 14 | 9 |
| % Saved | 56% | 41% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 13 |
The Belgian broke her opponents 22 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Belgian lost her serve 11 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Kessler broke her opponents 23 times with a 61% conversion rate. Mccartney conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 41% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | ||||||
| R1 Parrizas-Diaz |
R2 Zarazua |
1/4 Kudermetova |
1/2 Joint |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 0-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 73 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 67-52 | 77-71 | 64-51 | 272-218 | |
| Total points | 108 | 119 | 148 | 115 | 490 | |
| Winners | 22 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 27% | 35% | 44% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 28/54 | 25/58 | 39/68 | 36/56 | 128/236 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 43% | 57% | 64% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 18/25 | 27/39 | 28/36 | 95/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 72% | 69% | 78% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 12/33 | 12/29 | 8/20 | 45/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 36% | 41% | 40% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 7/13 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 22/40 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 54% | 45% | 56% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/8 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 38% | 50% | 75% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Kessler | ||||||
| R1 Sramkova |
R2 Lourdes |
1/4 Yastremska |
1/2 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 22 | 29 | 88 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 59-42 | 83-68 | 90-81 | 310-257 | |
| Total points | 144 | 101 | 151 | 171 | 567 | |
| Winners | 34 | 21 | 27 | 27 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% | 33% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 56/82 | 33/45 | 39/60 | 50/85 | 178/272 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 73% | 65% | 59% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 34/56 | 21/33 | 27/39 | 27/50 | 109/178 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 64% | 69% | 54% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 9/12 | 11/21 | 18/35 | 51/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 75% | 52% | 51% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/12 | 8/10 | 23/38 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | 42% | 80% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 1/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWW
WWWWLW Tennis Scores in Hobart
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
