Rio Noguchi and Jie Cui will clash against each other in the final of the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT B. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.66
Jie Cui -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Jie Cui
This will be the 3rd time that Rio Noguchi and Jie Cui square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Noguchi won 7-6(7) 6-2 in the qualifications in the Shanghai Challenger back in 2024.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, Rio got to the final after beating Thanapet Chanta 7-5 6-3, Corentin Denolly 6-3 6-3, Maximus Jones 3-6 6-1 6-0 and Murphy Cassone 7-5 6-7(4) 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Japanese defeated Cassone (7-5 6-74 6-3). During the match, Noguchi scored 107 points vs Cassone’s 106. Noguchi was pretty aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about the service games, Noguchi made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 75% of his first serves in, winning 67% (56/84) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. Rio broke Cassone 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rio has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Noguchi has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (333-229). 4-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Noguchi has a compiled 228-141 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Rio’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger.
The Japanese has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger
Jie Cui
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-27 | 36-26 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 36-21 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-10 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 349, Cui reached the final after beating Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 6-4 6-2, Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 6-2, Daniel Michalski 2-6 6-3 7-6(4) and Marat Sharipov 3-6 6-3 7-6(6).
In the semifinal against Sharipov, Jie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-66).During the match Cui scored less points (1) than Sharipov. In fact, the world no. 303 won 101 points vs Sharipov’s. That means that Cui was more focused during the important points. Cui was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Cui recorded 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jie Cui lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Cui put 77% of his first serves in, winning 68% (56/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Jie broke Sharipov twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jie has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Cui’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger.
Cui has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger
Jie has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 97 |
| Pts | 340-274 | 324-290 |
| Total Points | 614 | 614 |
| Winners | 156 | 160 |
| %Winners | 46% | 49% |
Both Noguchi and Cui played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi surrendered 2 sets, while Jie Cui dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and Cui have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Noguchi played 2 games less than Cui. The Japanese scored 156 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Jie bagged 160 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 221/298 | 222/309 |
| %1st in | 74% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 156/221 | 160/222 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 42/77 | 49/87 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 56% |
Noguchi bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Cui managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Noguchi won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Cui won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 11 |
| Converted | 17/41 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 19 | 25 |
| Saved | 13 | 19 |
| % Saved | 68% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Rio broke his opponents 17 times with a 41% conversion rate. Rio conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Cui conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | ||||||
| R1 Chanta |
R2 Denolly |
1/4 Jones |
1/2 Cassone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 6-1 6-0 | 7-5 6-74 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 22 | 34 | 95 | |
| pts | 81-62 | 67-40 | 85-66 | 107-106 | 340-274 | |
| Total points | 143 | 107 | 151 | 213 | 614 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | 34 | 56 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 40% | 52% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/65 | 39/45 | 52/76 | 84/112 | 221/298 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 87% | 68% | 75% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 33/39 | 34/52 | 56/84 | 156/221 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 85% | 65% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 3/6 | 13/24 | 16/28 | 42/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 50% | 54% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | 6/13 | 3/10 | 17/41 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | 46% | 30% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/2 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 71% | 75% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Cui | ||||||
| R1 Trongcharoenchaikul |
R2 Maestrelli |
1/4 Michalski |
1/2 Sharipov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 7-64 | 3-6 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 30 | 31 | 97 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 67-49 | 93-96 | 101-102 | 324-290 | |
| Total points | 106 | 116 | 189 | 203 | 614 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 48 | 56 | 160 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 52% | 55% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/46 | 35/50 | 74/107 | 82/106 | 222/309 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 70% | 69% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 28/35 | 48/74 | 56/82 | 160/222 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 80% | 65% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 11/15 | 16/33 | 13/24 | 49/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 73% | 48% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 33% | 60% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 25 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 9/13 | 9/11 | 19 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 69% | 82% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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