Tommy Paul and Felix Auger-Aliassime will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Adelaide International for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.68
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 2^nd time that Tommy Paul and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Auger-Aliassime won 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) in the 4^th round in Indian wells back in 2023.

Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Tommy Paul – Indian wells 14-March-2023

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Tommy reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Manuel Guinard 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Rinky Hijikata 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-3 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 65 points vs Hijikata’s 52. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paul struck 8 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Hijikata twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (347-201). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an overall 179-103 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The American has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 29, Auger-Aliassime reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Arthur Cazaux 1-6 6-4 7-5 and Marcos Giron 7-6(3) 6-3.

In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Giron (7-6³ 6-3). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 81 points vs Giron’s 67. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime struck 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 71% of his first serves in, winning 80% (43/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Giron twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Felix has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	47	51
Pts	153-141	172-159
Total Points	294	331
Winners	75	82
%Winners	49%	48%

Both Paul and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul lost 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paul and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Paul played 4 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Tommy scored 75 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime recorded 82 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	17	23
Avg per match	8.5	11.5
1st in	102/158	108/159
%1st in	65%	68%
1st pts	75/102	82/108
%1st pts	74%	76%
2nd pts	31/56	24/51
%2nd pts	55%	47%

Paul scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime fired 23 aces (11.5 per match). Paul won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Auger-Aliassime
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/17
% Converted	44%	24%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	14	13
% Saved	93%	87%
Times Broken	1	2

Paul broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Paul lost his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. Felix broke his opponents 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R2 Guinard	1/4 Hijikata	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	19	47
pts	88-89	65-52	153-141
Total points	177	117	294
Winners	43	32	75
%Winners	49%	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	17
Double Faults	4	0	4
1st in	60/93	42/65	102/158
% 1st in	65%	65%	65%
1st pts	43/60	32/42	75/102
% 1st pts	72%	76%	74%
2nd pts	18/33	13/23	31/56
% 2nd pts	55%	57%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/2	2/7	4/9
Converted %	100%	29%	44%
Conceded	11	4	15
Saved	10/11	4/4	14
Saved %	91%	100%	96%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Cazaux	1/4 Giron	Total
Score	1-6 6-4 7-5	7-63 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	29	22	51
pts	91-92	81-67	172-159
Total points	183	148	331
Winners	39	43	82
%Winners	43%	53%	48%
SERVE
Aces	12	11	23
Double Faults	5	3	8
1st in	54/83	54/76	108/159
% 1st in	65%	71%	68%
1st pts	39/54	43/54	82/108
% 1st pts	72%	80%	76%
2nd pts	14/29	10/22	24/51
% 2nd pts	48%	45%	47%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/9	2/8	4/17
Converted %	22%	25%	24%
Conceded	6	9	15
Saved	4/6	9/9	13
Saved %	67%	100%	84%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Adelaide

• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (7-6⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Petr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (w/o) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Matthew Ebden/Joran VliegenEbden/Joran Vliegen (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Ivan Dodig/Skander MansouriDodig/Skander Mansouri (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tommy PaulPaul – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction