Dominik Koepfer and Blake Ellis will square off in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominik Koepfer who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dominik Koepfer is the pick to win this match.
Dominik Koepfer -> 1.333
Blake Ellis -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Dominik Koepfer vs. Blake Ellis

This will be the 2nd time that Dominik Koepfer and Blake Ellis face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Koepfer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Koepfer won 3-6 6-0 6-3 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in 2019.

Dominik Koepfer

Dominik Koepfer

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
123
High
49
WWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 21-19 10-6 6-9 3-2 2-2 0-0
2023 40-19 7-6 24-5 6-6 3-2 0-0
2022 19-14 12-9 0-0 7-2 0-3 0-0
2021 27-30 10-12 10-9 5-6 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 123, Dominik reached the qualifications after defeating Ignacio Buse 2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

and Ethan Quinn 3-6 7-5 6-1.

In the qualifications against Quinn, Dominik recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Koepfer scored 92 points vs Quinn’s 82. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Koepfer scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 6 double faults. Dominik Koepfer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Koepfer put 55% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. Dominik broke Quinn 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Koepfer has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (298-199). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Koepfer has an overall 137-88 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The German has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Koepfer's Record

Blake Ellis

Blake Ellis

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
338
High
319
WWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 49-31 41-26 1-1 0-0 7-4 0-0
2023 51-29 43-25 0-0 4-2 4-2 0-0
2022 13-11 13-11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 24-14 16-8 0-0 8-5 0-0 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 338, the Australian reached the qualifications after beating Antoine Escoffier 6-2 6-1 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-1 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Watanuki (6-1 6-4). During the match Ellis scored 54 points vs Watanuki’s 40. Blake was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Ellis blasted 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Blake Ellis was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Watanuki 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ellis started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 62% of the points he played.

Ellis has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018 and 2019. See his history.

Australian Open
Ellis's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Koepfer
B.Ellis
!
4h:15
4h:15
Time on court​
2h:01
2h:01
2h:00
2h:00
Last match​
1h:03
1h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
58
58
Games Played​
32
32
6
6
Set played​​
4
4
192
192
Total points​
113
113
96
96
Avg point​
56.5
56.5
74
74
Winners
42
42
37
37
Avg Winners​
21
21
39%
39%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
11
11
3
3
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
15
15
Double Faults
2
2
!
7.5
7.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
74/101
74/101
1st won total​
42/54
42/54
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
38/80
38/80
2nd won total​
26/40
26/40
48%
48%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
8/19
8/19
BP won
8/10
8/10
4/9.5
4/9.5
Avg BP won
4/5
4/5
42%
42%
Won
!
80%
80%
12
12
Conceded
1
1
6
6
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
7
7
Broken
1
1
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
5
5
Saved
0
0
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Koepfer Ellis
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 4
Tot Games 58 32
Pts 192-181 113-70
Total Points 373 183
Winners 74 42
%Winners 39% 37%

Both Koepfer and Ellis played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Dominik Koepfer lost 2 sets while Blake Ellis hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Koepfer has played 2 sets more than Ellis (6 vs 4). Therefore, Koepfer played 26 games more than Ellis. Dominik scored 74 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian blasted 42 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Koepfer Ellis
Aces 6 11
Avg per match 3 5.5
1st in 101/181 54/94
%1st in 56% 57%
1st pts 74/101 42/54
%1st pts 73% 78%
2nd pts 38/80 26/40
%2nd pts 48% 65%

Koepfer managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Ellis made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Koepfer won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Ellis won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Koepfer Ellis
Won 8 8
Converted 8/19 8/10
% Converted 42% 80%
Conceded 12 1
Saved 5 0
% Saved 42% 0%
Times Broken 7 1

Dominik broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded. Ellis broke his opponents 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. Blake conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Koepfer
Q1
Buse		 Q2
Quinn		 Total
Score 2-6 6-3 7-65 3-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 30 28 58
pts 100-99 92-82 192-181
Total points 199 174 373
Winners 39 35 74
%Winners 39% 38% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 6
Double Faults 9 6 15
1st in 54/95 47/86 101/181
% 1st in 57% 55% 56%
1st pts 39/54 35/47 74/101
% 1st pts 72% 74% 73%
2nd pts 22/41 16/39 38/80
% 2nd pts 54% 41% 48%
Breaks
Won 2 6 8
Converted 2/11 6/8 8/19
Converted % 18% 75% 42%
Conceded 5 7 12
Saved 2/5 3/7 5
Saved % 40% 43% 42%
Times Broken 3 4 7
Ellis
Q1
Escoffier		 Q2
Watanuki		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 17 32
pts 59-30 54-40 113-70
Total points 89 94 183
Winners 17 25 42
%Winners 29% 46% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 9 11
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 22/45 32/49 54/94
% 1st in 49% 65% 57%
1st pts 17/22 25/32 42/54
% 1st pts 77% 78% 78%
2nd pts 15/23 11/17 26/40
% 2nd pts 65% 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/6 3/4 8/10
Converted % 83% 75% 80%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 0/1 0/0 0
Saved % 0% – 0%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Koepfer
More Stats
Click here
Ellis

Click for FULL STATS