Yasutaka Uchiyama and Mitchell Krueger will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yasutaka Uchiyama who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yasutaka Uchiyama is the pick to win this match.
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 1.69
Mitchell Krueger -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Mitchell Krueger

This will be the 3rd time that Yasutaka Uchiyama and Mitchell Krueger fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Uchiyama (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Uchiyama won 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in Hangzhou back in 2024.

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Yasutaka Uchiyama

2 - 0win/loss

Hard
2-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
147
High
78
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 34-25 26-18 1-1 6-5 1-1 0-0
2023 29-24 27-22 0-0 2-1 0-1 0-0
2022 23-21 16-13 0-0 7-8 0-0 0-0
2021 12-26 9-13 0-3 1-6 2-4 0-0

Ranked no. 147, Yasutaka reached the qualifications after beating Harold Mayot 6-4 7-6(5) and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications against Daniel Vallejo, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Uchiyama scored 100 points vs Daniel Vallejo’s 94. Uchiyama was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Uchiyama struck 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Yasutaka Uchiyama lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Uchiyama put 59% of his first serves in, winning 71% (41/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Yasutaka broke Daniel Vallejo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Uchiyama has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (236-211). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Uchiyama has an aggregate 179-134 record in the last years on hard.

Yasutaka has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Uchiyama's Record

Mitchell Krueger

Mitchell Krueger

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
148
High
135
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-31 30-17 9-7 2-6 1-1 0-0
2023 29-29 15-19 4-4 10-6 0-0 0-0
2022 29-28 18-15 6-5 1-6 4-2 0-0
2021 29-24 19-12 5-5 3-5 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 148, the American got to the qualifications after beating Filip Cristian Jianu 6-3 6-4 and Duje Ajdukovic 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Krueger had a good straight sets win against Ajdukovic (6-4 6-3). During the match Krueger scored 60 points vs Ajdukovic’s 47. Krueger was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Krueger blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mitchell Krueger was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Krueger was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ajdukovic 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mitchell started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

The American has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Australian Open
Krueger's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Y.Uchiyama
M.Krueger
!
4h:17
4h:17
Time on court​
2h:40
2h:40
!
2h:24
2h:24
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
2
2
Match played
2
2
52
52
Games Played​
38
38
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
182
182
Total points​
132
132
91
91
Avg point​
66
66
78
78
Winners
57
57
39
39
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
14
14
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
7
7
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
78/112
78/112
1st won total​
57/74
57/74
70%
70%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
33/67
33/67
2nd won total​
21/35
21/35
49%
49%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
8/16
8/16
BP won
7/17
7/17
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
50%
50%
Won
41%
41%
18
18
Conceded
7
7
9
9
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
6
6
Broken
2
2
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
12
12
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Uchiyama Krueger
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 52 38
Pts 182-169 132-99
Total Points 351 231
Winners 78 57
%Winners 43% 43%

Both Uchiyama and Krueger played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yasutaka Uchiyama dropped 1 set while Mitchell Krueger hasn’t conceded a set so far. Uchiyama has played 1 set more than Krueger (5 vs 4). Therefore, Uchiyama played 14 games more than Krueger. Uchiyama scored 78 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 57 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Uchiyama Krueger
Aces 11 14
Avg per match 5.5 7
1st in 112/179 74/109
%1st in 63% 68%
1st pts 78/112 57/74
%1st pts 70% 77%
2nd pts 33/67 21/35
%2nd pts 49% 60%

Uchiyama blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Krueger recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Uchiyama won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Krueger won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Uchiyama Krueger
Won 8 7
Converted 8/16 7/17
% Converted 50% 41%
Conceded 18 7
Saved 12 5
% Saved 67% 71%
Times Broken 6 2

The Japanese broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Yasutaka conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Krueger broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Mitchell conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Uchiyama
Q1
Mayot
Q2
Daniel
Total
Score 6-4 7-65 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 23 29 52
pts 82-75 100-94 182-169
Total points 157 194 351
Winners 37 41 78
%Winners 45% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 11
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 54/81 58/98 112/179
% 1st in 67% 59% 63%
1st pts 37/54 41/58 78/112
% 1st pts 69% 71% 70%
2nd pts 13/27 20/40 33/67
% 2nd pts 48% 50% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/8 4/8 8/16
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 9 9 18
Saved 6/9 6/9 12
Saved % 67% 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 3 6
Krueger
Q1
Cristian
Q2
Ajdukovic
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 19 38
pts 72-52 60-47 132-99
Total points 124 107 231
Winners 26 31 57
%Winners 36% 52% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 14
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 35/49 39/60 74/109
% 1st in 71% 65% 68%
1st pts 26/35 31/39 57/74
% 1st pts 74% 79% 77%
2nd pts 10/14 11/21 21/35
% 2nd pts 71% 52% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/14 3/3 7/17
Converted % 29% 100% 41%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 3/4 2/3 5
Saved % 75% 67% 71%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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