Jozef Kovalik and August Holmgren will play each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:30 am on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.76
August Holmgren -> 2.02

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik

1 - 0win/loss

Hard
1-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
128
High
80
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-1 26-20 5-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 128, Kovalik got to the qualifications after beating Bernard Tomic 6-3 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Tomic (6-3 6-1). During the match, Kovalik scored 59 points vs Tomic’s 36. The Slovakian was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kovalik made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jozef Kovalik was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kovalik broke Tomic 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Kovalik has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (283-236). 1-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovalik has a composed 30-43 record in the last years on hard.

The Slovakian has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Kovalik's Record

August Holmgren

August Holmgren

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
199
High
163
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 37-25 24-12 6-6 7-7 0-0 0-0
2023 46-26 33-14 9-6 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 31-12 18-4 10-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 19-8 12-6 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 199, the Dane got to the qualifications after beating Hayden Jones 7-6(8) 4-6 7-6(8).

In the qualifications, The Dane defeated Jones (7-68 4-6 7-68). During the match Holmgren scored 121 points vs Jones’s 119. August was extremely aggressive to blast 62 winners.

About the serving games, Holmgren blasted 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 65% of his first serves in, winning 85% (62/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve.

Holmgren has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

August has never competed in this tournament before.

Australian Open
Holmgren's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Kovalik
A.Holmgren
1h:00
1h:00
Time on court​
!
3h:04
3h:04
1h:00
1h:00
Last match​
!
3h:04
3h:04
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
36
36
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
59
59
Total points​
121
121
59
59
Avg point​
121
121
25
25
Winners
62
62
25
25
Avg Winners​
62
62
42%
42%
Ratio winners
51%
51%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
16
16
6
6
Avg Aces
!
16
16
2
2
Double Faults
4
4
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
25/32
25/32
1st won total​
62/73
62/73
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
85%
85%
9/13
9/13
2nd won total​
20/40
20/40
!
69%
69%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
0/9
0/9
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
0/9
0/9
!
67%
67%
Won
!
0%
0%
0
0
Conceded
4
4
0
0
Avg Conceded
4
4
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kovalik Holmgren
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 16 36
Pts 59-36 121-119
Total Points 95 240
Winners 25 62
%Winners 42% 51%

Both Kovalik and Holmgren played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, August Holmgren lost 1 set while Jozef Kovalik hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kovalik has played 1 set(s) less than Holmgren (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kovalik played 20 games less than Holmgren. Jozef scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane managed to score 62 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kovalik Holmgren
Aces 6 16
Avg per match 6 16
1st in 32/45 73/113
%1st in 71% 65%
1st pts 25/32 62/73
%1st pts 78% 85%
2nd pts 9/13 20/40
%2nd pts 69% 50%

Kovalik bagged 6 aces . Holmgren bagged 16 aces . Kovalik won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kovalik Holmgren
Won 4 0
Converted 4/6 0/9
% Converted 67% 0%
Conceded 0 4
Saved 0 3
% Saved 0% 75%
Times Broken 0 1

Kovalik broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Kovalik pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. On the other side, August hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. August conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovalik
Q1
Tomic
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 59-36 59-36
Total points 95 95
Winners 25 25
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 32/45 32/45
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 25/32 25/32
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 9/13 9/13
% 2nd pts 69% 69%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Holmgren
Q1
Jones
Total
Score 7-68 4-6 7-68
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 36 36
pts 121-119 121-119
Total points 240 240
Winners 62 62
%Winners 51% 51%
SERVE
Aces 16 16
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 73/113 73/113
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 62/73 62/73
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 20/40 20/40
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 0 0
Converted 0/9 0/9
Converted % 0% 0%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw