Varvara Lepchenko and Heather Watson will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.57
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Varvara Lepchenko vs. Heather Watson

This will be the 4^th time that Varvara Lepchenko and Heather Watson clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Watson (see full H2H stats), but Lepchenko has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Watson won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 1^st round in Eastbourne back in 2015.

Varvara Lepchenko

Ranked no. 128, Lepchenko reached the qualifications after defeating Hanna Chang 6-1 6-3.

In the qualifications, Lepchenko had a good straight sets win against Chang (6-1 6-3). During the match, Lepchenko scored 66 points vs Chang’s 43. The American was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Lepchenko fired 3 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Varvara Lepchenko was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Varvara broke Chang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Lepchenko has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (242-184). 1-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Lepchenko has a compiled 133-100 match record in the last years on hard.

Varvara has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Heather Watson

Ranked no. 166, Watson reached the qualifications after beating Lola Radivojevic 7-5 6-7(14) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Watson defeated Radivojevic (7-5 6-7¹⁴ 6-2). During the match Watson scored 122 points vs Radivojevic’s 104. Watson was pretty aggressive to blast 62 winners.

About the serving games, Watson made 11 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 75% of her first serves in, winning 75% (62/83) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Radivojevic 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Watson has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2013. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Lepchenko	Watson
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	16	33
Pts	66-43	122-104
Total Points	109	226
Winners	30	62
%Winners	45%	51%

Both Lepchenko and Watson played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Heather Watson surrendered 1 set while Varvara Lepchenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Lepchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Watson (2 vs 3). Therefore, Lepchenko played 17 games less than Watson. Lepchenko scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 62 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Lepchenko	Watson
Aces	3	11
Avg per match	3	11
1st in	42/61	83/111
%1st in	69%	75%
1st pts	30/42	62/83
%1st pts	71%	75%
2nd pts	11/19	13/28
%2nd pts	58%	46%

Lepchenko blasted 3 aces . Watson bagged 11 aces . Lepchenko won 71% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Lepchenko	Watson
Won	4	5
Converted	4/5	5/15
% Converted	80%	33%
Conceded	8	6
Saved	8	4
% Saved	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	2

The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Varvara was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 8 break points. Watson broke her opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Watson conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Lepchenko
	Q1 Chang	Total
Score	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	66-43	66-43
Total points	109	109
Winners	30	30
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	42/61	42/61
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	30/42	30/42
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	11/19	11/19
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	8/8	8
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Watson
	Q1 Radivojevic	Total
Score	7-5 6-714 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	122-104	122-104
Total points	226	226
Winners	62	62
%Winners	51%	51%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	83/111	83/111
% 1st in	75%	75%
1st pts	62/83	62/83
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	13/28	13/28
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/15	5/15
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	4/6	4
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Laura PigossiPigossi – Guiomar Zuleta De RealesZuleta De Reales (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Selena JanicijevicJanicijevic – Lin ZhuZhu (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Carole MonnetMonnet – Darja SemenistajaSemenistaja (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch – Nuria BrancaccioBrancaccio (6-2 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Arina RodionovaRodionova – Aliona FaleiFalei (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Marie BenoitBenoit – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (5-7 6-4 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Sachia VickeryVickery – Ana KonjuhKonjuh (7-6⁷ 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Astra SharmaSharma – Mai HontamaHontama (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sinja KrausKraus – Viktoria HruncakovaHruncakova (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Veronika ErjavecErjavec – Alana SubasicSubasic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Mariam BolkvadzeBolkvadze – Antonia RuzicRuzic (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Ysaline BonaventureBonaventure (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Dominika SalkovaSalkova (7-6³ 5-7 7-6) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Susan BandecchiBandecchi (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean – Lina GlushkoGlushko (1-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Sara ErraniErrani – Alina KorneevaKorneeva (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Renata JamrichovaJamrichova – Manon LeonardLeonard (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Sayaka IshiiIshii – Aoi ItoIto (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ella SeidelSeidel – Claire LiuLiu (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Francesca JonesJones – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Robin MontgomeryMontgomery – Polona HercogHercog (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Petra MarticMartic – Petra HuleHule (6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Sijia WeiWei – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Eva LysLys – Hanne VandewinkelVandewinkel (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Darya AstakhovaAstakhova – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (1-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Anastasiia SobolievaSobolieva (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Xinyu GaoGao – Anouk KoevermansKoevermans (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Oksana SelekhmetevaSelekhmeteva – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew – Marina Bassols RiberaBassols Ribera (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Priscilla HonHon – Usue Maitane ArconadaMaitane Arconada (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Elena MicicMicic – Elena PridankinaPridankina (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Sara BejlekBejlek – Kathinka Von DeichmannVon Deichmann (6-0 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Jaimee FourlisFourlis (7-6⁵ 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Nina StojanovicStojanovic – Celine NaefNaef (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Maddison InglisInglis – Elsa JacquemotJacquemot (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jana FettFett – Alexandra EalaEala (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Han ShiShi (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Sara SaitoSaito (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Kyoka OkamuraOkamura (7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Kristina MladenovicMladenovic – Louisa ChiricoChirico (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Lucija Ciric BagaricCiric Bagaric – Solana SierraSierra (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylah PrestonPreston – Mona BarthelBarthel (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Irene Burillo EscorihuelaBurillo Escorihuela
  (6-7⁶ 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Julia RieraRiera – Lea BoskovicBoskovic (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Raluca Georgiana SerbanGeorgiana Serban – Jessika PonchetPonchet (7-6⁵ 6-0) – See score progression
• Miriam Bianca BulgaruBianca Bulgaru – Georgia PedonePedone (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Daria SnigurSnigur – Emiliana ArangoArango (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Nao HibinoHibino – Marina StakusicStakusic (7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Tina Nadine SmithNadine Smith (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Leonie KungKung (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Hanna ChangChang (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Anca Alexia TodoniAlexia Todoni – Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJimenez Kasintseva (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Harriet DartDart – Lizette CabreraCabrera (6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Ana BogdanBogdan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Emina BektasBektas – Arianne HartonoHartono (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam – Aliona BolsovaBolsova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Heather WatsonWatson – Lola RadivojevicRadivojevic (7-5 6-7¹⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Barbora PalicovaPalicova – Simona WaltertWaltert (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Panna UdvardyUdvardy – Melisa ErcanErcan (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva – Alice TubelloTubello (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Ekaterina Makarova (1996)Makarova (1996) – Noma Akugue NohaAkugue Noha (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Lanlana TararudeeTararudee (6-0 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian OetzbachOetzbach – Edis NokicNokic (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Eric Ahren MoongaAhren Moonga – Stefan ZoricZoric (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Lucas RenardRenard – Aron SarenwaldSarenwald (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Oleg KhotkovKhotkov – Jakob Arvidsson EhnArvidsson Ehn (4-6 6-4 10-3) – See score progression
• Simon FreundFreund – Erik GreveliusGrevelius (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Martins RocensRocens – Almir NokicNokic (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Oliver JohanssonJohansson – Arvid NordquistNordquist (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Anastasiia SobolievaSobolieva (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Sayaka IshiiIshii – Aoi ItoIto (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Ysaline BonaventureBonaventure (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Marie BenoitBenoit – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (5-7 6-4 7-6(8)) – See score progression
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Dominika SalkovaSalkova (7-6(3) 5-7 7-6) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Susan BandecchiBandecchi (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Kristina MladenovicMladenovic – Louisa ChiricoChirico (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Elena MicicMicic – Elena PridankinaPridankina (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Darya AstakhovaAstakhova – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (1-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Kyoka OkamuraOkamura (7-6(6) 6-0) – See score progression
• Sara BejlekBejlek – Kathinka Von DeichmannVon Deichmann (6-0 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Francesca JonesJones – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Han ShiShi (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Petra MarticMartic – Petra HuleHule (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Xinyu GaoGao – Anouk KoevermansKoevermans (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Veronika ErjavecErjavec – Alana SubasicSubasic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew – Marina Bassols RiberaBassols Ribera (6-1 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sinja KrausKraus – Jana FettFett (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Laura PigossiPigossi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sachia VickeryVickery – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Harriet DartDart – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina Makarova (1996)Makarova (1996) – Nao HibinoHibino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sara ErraniErrani – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marie BenoitBenoit – Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miriam Bianca BulgaruBianca Bulgaru – Julia RieraRiera (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesca JonesJones – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Priscilla HonHon (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Astra SharmaSharma – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Panna UdvardyUdvardy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arina RodionovaRodionova – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch – Sijia WeiWei (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Heather WatsonWatson – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carole MonnetMonnet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Raluca Georgiana SerbanGeorgiana Serban (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emina BektasBektas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra MarticMartic – Xinyu GaoGao (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika ErjavecErjavec – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (0-0) – H2H and prediction