Paula Badosa and Ashlyn Krueger will face off in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 3 sets.
Paula Badosa -> 1.48
Ashlyn Krueger -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa vs. Ashlyn Krueger
This will be the 2nd time that Paula Badosa and Ashlyn Krueger face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Badosa won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the 1st round in Doha back in 2024.
Paula Badosa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Peyton Stearns 6-7(5) 6-3 7-5.
In the 1st round against Stearns, Badosa recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-3 7-5). During the match, Badosa scored 117 points vs Stearns’s 109. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Badosa bagged 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 4 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 62% of her first serves in, winning 63% (46/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Stearns 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Badosa has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (298-168). 1-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an aggregate 116-67 match record in the last years on hard.
Badosa has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Ashlyn Krueger
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 19-17 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-26 | 26-15 | 8-6 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 23-17 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 10-11 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Ajla Tomljanovic 7-5 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk 4-6 6-2 6-2.
Krueger has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 48 |
| Pts | 117-109 | 164-142 |
| Total Points | 226 | 306 |
| Winners | 46 | 59 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Badosa played 1 match while Krueger competed in 2 matches. Krueger started her run from the qualifications while Badosa had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Paula Badosa surrendered 1 set, while Ashlyn Krueger surrendered 1 set. Badosa has played 2 set(s) less than Krueger (3 vs 5). Therefore, Badosa played 14 games less than Krueger. Badosa scored 46 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 59 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 73/118 | 96/144 |
| %1st in | 62% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 46/73 | 59/96 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 25/48 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 52% |
Badosa recorded 5 aces . Krueger struck 8 aces (4 per match). Badosa won 63% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Krueger won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 12 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 12/24 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
The Spaniard broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Paula dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Krueger broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ashlyn conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||
| R1 Stearns | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 117-109 | 117-109 | |
| Total points | 226 | 226 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 73/118 | 73/118 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/73 | 46/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 22/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 12/16 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Krueger | ||||
| Q1 Tomljanovic | Q3 Siniakova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 47 | |
| pts | 77-71 | – | 77-71 | |
| Total points | 148 | 0 | 148 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | ||
| %Winners | 30% | 0% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 44/69 | / | 44/69 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 0% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/44 | / | 23/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 52% | 0% | 52% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | / | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 0% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | ||
| Converted | 6/13 | / | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 0% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | ||
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/ | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | – | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | ||
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Jordi Samper-MontanaSamper-Montana – Sergio Martos GornesMartos Gornes (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Michiel De KromDe Krom (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Orlando LuzLuz – Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Federico ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rafael MatosMatos – Alex MartinezMartinez (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Dan AddedAdded (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jaume Pla MalfeitoPla Malfeito – Michael GeertsGeerts (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (5-5) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction