Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego will play each other in the 2nd round of the ASB Classic for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.63
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 3rd time that Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sonego won 6-0 6-3 in the final in Winston salem back in 2024.
Highlights Lorenzo Sonego vs Alex Michelsen – Winston salem 24-August-2024
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Michelsen reached the 2nd round after defeating Sumit Nagal 6-7(8) 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round against Nagal, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-4 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 118 points vs Nagal’s 97. The American was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 70% of his first serves in, winning 73% (53/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Nagal 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (131-72). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a compiled72-36 match record in the last 4 years on hard.
The American has an overall 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, Sonego reached the 2nd round after beating Gabriel Diallo 7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(7).
In the 1st round, Lorenzo defeated Diallo (7-65 2-6 7-67).During the match Sonego scored less points (4) than Diallo. In fact, the world no. 41 won 110 points vs Diallo’s. That means that Sonego was more focused during the important points. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Sonego lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (58/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Diallo once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
The Italian has an overall 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 34 |
| Pts | 118-97 | 110-114 |
| Total Points | 215 | 224 |
| Winners | 53 | 58 |
| %Winners | 45% | 53% |
Both Michelsen and Sonego played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Michelsen and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Michelsen played 3 games less than Sonego. Michelsen scored 53 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo made 58 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 73/104 | 85/116 |
| %1st in | 70% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 53/73 | 58/85 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 22/31 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 71% |
Michelsen struck 6 aces . Sonego blasted 4 aces . Michelsen won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 1 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 1/4 |
| % Converted | 46% | 25% |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Saved | 7 | 10 |
| % Saved | 70% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Michelsen broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Nagal | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-78 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 118-97 | 118-97 | |
| Total points | 215 | 215 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 73/104 | 73/104 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 53/73 | 53/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 13/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sonego | |||
| R1 Diallo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 2-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 110-114 | 110-114 | |
| Total points | 224 | 224 | |
| Winners | 58 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 85/116 | 85/116 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 58/85 | 58/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 22/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Auckland
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-66 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-65 2-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (1-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Luciano DarderiDarderi (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus – Santiago Gonzalez/Lucas MiedlerGonzalez/Lucas Miedler (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Isaac BecroftBecroft (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Sumit NagalNagal (6-78 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Christian Harrison/Rajeev RamHarrison/Rajeev Ram – Constantin Frantzen/Hendrik JebensFrantzen/Hendrik Jebens (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (1-6 7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction