Blake Mott and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Nottingham Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the pick to win this match.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.5
Blake Mott -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Blake Mott vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
This will be the 2nd time that Blake Mott and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mott (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Mott won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in M25 Aldershot back in 2024.
Blake Mott
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-27 | 34-22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-13 | 35-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-5 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 488, Mott got to the qualifications after beating James Story 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Story (6-4 6-2). During the match, Mott scored 61 points vs Story’s 49. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mott was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Blake Mott conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 67% of his first serves in, win 77% (33/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Blake broke Story 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Mott has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (162-97). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mott has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Blake has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nottingham Challenger
Mott has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 518, the Norwegian got to the qualifications after defeating Ben Jones 7-6(3) 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Nicolai had a good straight sets win against Jones (7-63 7-65). During the match Budkov scored 80 points vs Jones’s 68. Budkov was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Budkov bagged 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was exceptionally effective on serve to win 89% (39/44) of his 1st serve and 81% (21/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Nicolai has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mott | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 |
| Pts | 61-49 | 80-68 |
| Total Points | 110 | 148 |
| Winners | 33 | 39 |
| %Winners | 54% | 49% |
Both Mott and Budkov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mott and Budkov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mott played 8 games less than Budkov. Blake scored 33 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian fired 39 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mott | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 12 |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 44/70 |
| %1st in | 67% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 39/44 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 21/26 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 81% |
Mott didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Budkov fired 12 aces . Mott won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 81% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mott | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 0 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 0/1 |
| % Converted | 60% | 0% |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 1 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Blake very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. On the other side, The Norwegian hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. Nicolai was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points without even conceding a single break point.
| Mott | |||
| Q1 Story |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 61-49 | 61-49 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 43/64 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 33/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Budkov | |||
| Q1 Jones |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 80-68 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/70 | 44/70 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 39/44 | 39/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 81% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/1 | 0/1 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 0% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
W
W 
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