Aryna Sabalenka and Polina Kudermetova will clash against each other in the final of the Brisbane International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.094
Polina Kudermetova -> 7.2
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Polina Kudermetova since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Renata Zarazua 6-4 6-0, Yulia Putintseva 7-6(2) 6-4, Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4 and Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 71 points vs Andreeva’s 56. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka bagged 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Andreeva 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (378-168). 4-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled 231-92 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Aryna’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane.
Sabalenka has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Polina Kudermetova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-35 | 28-13 | 21-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 33-26 | 5-5 | 13-13 | 10-5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 54-19 | 30-14 | 8-3 | 16-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 9-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Kudermetova reached the final after defeating Astra Sharma 6-3 6-2, Zeynep Sonmez 6-2 6-3, Xinyu Wang 6-1 6-3, Liudmila Samsonova 6-7(7) 6-3 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 1-6 6-2 7-5, Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(5) 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-4 6-3). During the match Kudermetova scored 65 points vs Kalinina’s 53. Polina was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Kudermetova fired 6 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Polina Kudermetova lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kudermetova put 51% of her first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Polina was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Kalinina 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kudermetova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Kudermetova’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane.
The Russian has an overall 7-0 win-loss record in 2025, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Polina has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 148 |
| Pts | 283-221 | 507-424 |
| Total Points | 504 | 931 |
| Winners | 123 | 215 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Sabalenka played 4 matches while Kudermetova competed in 7 matches. Kudermetova started her run from the qualifications while Sabalenka had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Polina Kudermetova dropped 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 8 set(s) less than Kudermetova (8 vs 16). Therefore, Sabalenka played 73 games less than Kudermetova. Sabalenka scored 123 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 215 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 159/259 | 296/505 |
| %1st in | 61% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 123/159 | 215/296 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 51/100 | 97/209 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 46% |
Sabalenka made 20 aces (5 per match). Kudermetova blasted 33 aces (4.7 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kudermetova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 31 |
| Converted | 13/29 | 31/52 |
| % Converted | 45% | 60% |
| Conceded | 20 | 50 |
| Saved | 17 | 37 |
| % Saved | 85% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 13 |
Aryna broke her opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Polina broke her opponents 31 times with a 60% conversion rate. Polina conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R2 Zarazua |
R3 Putintseva |
1/4 Bouzkova |
1/2 Andreeva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 7-62 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 19 | 17 | 75 | |
| pts | 52-33 | 85-74 | 75-58 | 71-56 | 283-221 | |
| Total points | 85 | 159 | 133 | 127 | 504 | |
| Winners | 21 | 37 | 33 | 32 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 49/75 | 41/64 | 43/78 | 159/259 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 64% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 37/49 | 33/41 | 32/43 | 123/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 80% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 13/26 | 11/23 | 18/35 | 51/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 50% | 48% | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 2/8 | 3/10 | 3/5 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 25% | 30% | 60% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 4/5 | 8/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Kudermetova | |||||||||
| Q1 Sharma |
Q3 Sonmez |
R1 Wang |
R2 Samsonova |
R3 Kasatkina |
1/4 Krueger |
1/2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-77 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-2 7-5 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 16 | 30 | 27 | 22 | 19 | 148 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 64-49 | 58-40 | 103-85 | 84-86 | 74-65 | 65-53 | 507-424 | |
| Total points | 105 | 113 | 98 | 188 | 170 | 139 | 118 | 931 | |
| Winners | 21 | 29 | 22 | 45 | 32 | 35 | 31 | 215 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 38% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||||
| Aces | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 30 | |
| 1st in | 29/54 | 38/64 | 28/49 | 58/99 | 57/95 | 49/72 | 37/72 | 296/505 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 59% | 57% | 59% | 60% | 68% | 51% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 29/38 | 22/28 | 45/58 | 32/57 | 35/49 | 31/37 | 215/296 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 76% | 79% | 78% | 56% | 71% | 84% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 10/26 | 8/21 | 20/41 | 15/38 | 14/23 | 15/35 | 97/209 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 38% | 38% | 49% | 39% | 61% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 31 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/8 | 6/9 | 5/6 | 7/12 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 31/52 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 67% | 83% | 58% | 50% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 50 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/9 | 3/5 | 7/8 | 11/18 | 2/2 | 4/5 | 37 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 89% | 60% | 88% | 61% | 100% | 80% | 136% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWW
WLWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Mirra Andreeva/Diana ShnaiderAndreeva/Diana Shnaider – Priscilla Hon/Anna KalinskayaHon/Anna Kalinskaya (7-66 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yshai OlielOliel – Lloyd GlasspoolGlasspool (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
