Alexandre Muller and Kei Nishikori will fight against each other in the final of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kei Nishikori who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kei Nishikori is the pick to win this match.
Kei Nishikori -> 1.37
Alexandre Muller -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Kei Nishikori
There is no head to head record between Alexandre Muller and Kei Nishikori since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexandre Muller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-32 | 11-14 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 67 (career-high), Muller got to the final after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 2-6 6-4 6-3, Miomir Kecmanovic 5-7 7-6(6) 7-6(10), Arthur Fils 3-6 6-3 6-1 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the semifinal against Munar Clar, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4).During the match, Muller scored less points (1) than Munar Clar. In fact, the world no. 67 won 96 points vs Munar Clar’s. That means that Muller was more focused during the important points. Muller was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Muller scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexandre Muller was very effective on serve to win 76% (47/62) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Muller broke Munar Clar twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has surrendered 4 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Muller has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (375-252). 4-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muller has a composed 115-70 record in the last years on hard.
The French player best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.
The French player has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Alexandre has never competed in this tournament before.
Kei Nishikori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Japanese reached the final after defeating Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-3, Karen Khachanov 4-6 6-3 7-5, Cameron Norrie 6-3 3-6 6-2 and Juncheng Shang 4-3 ret..
In the semifinal against Shang, Nishikori had a free pass after Shang retired on a 4-3 . scoreline.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.
The Japanese has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muller | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 123 | 81 |
| Pts | 403-383 | 257-216 |
| Total Points | 786 | 473 |
| Winners | 197 | 125 |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% |
Both Muller and Nishikori played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexandre Muller conceded 4 sets, while Kei Nishikori surrendered 2 sets. Muller has played 2 sets more than Nishikori (12 vs 10). Therefore, Muller played 42 games more than Nishikori. Alexandre scored 197 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Kei recorded 125 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muller | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 278/398 | 165/237 |
| %1st in | 70% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 197/278 | 125/165 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 60/120 | 42/72 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 58% |
Muller managed to score 25 aces (6.3 per match). Nishikori scored 12 aces (3 per match). Muller won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muller | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 10 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 48% | 53% |
| Conceded | 36 | 12 |
| Saved | 24 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 4 |
Muller broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexandre dropped his serve 12 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Kei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Muller | ||||||
| R1 Huesler |
R2 Kecmanovic |
1/4 Fils |
1/2 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | 5-7 7-66 7-610 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 38 | 25 | 33 | 123 | |
| pts | 90-84 | 133-128 | 84-74 | 96-97 | 403-383 | |
| Total points | 174 | 261 | 158 | 193 | 786 | |
| Winners | 48 | 61 | 41 | 47 | 197 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 46% | 49% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 73/93 | 86/122 | 57/89 | 62/94 | 278/398 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 70% | 64% | 66% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 48/73 | 61/86 | 41/57 | 47/62 | 197/278 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 71% | 72% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 16/36 | 14/32 | 20/32 | 60/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 44% | 44% | 63% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/9 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 44% | 63% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 36 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 5/10 | 11/13 | 2/4 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 85% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Nishikori | ||||||
| R1 Shapovalov |
R2 Khachanov |
1/4 Norrie |
1/2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 4-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 26 | 7 | 81 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 95-85 | 82-72 | 20-17 | 257-216 | |
| Total points | 102 | 180 | 154 | 37 | 473 | |
| Winners | 29 | 43 | 43 | 10 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 52% | 50% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 62/90 | 55/75 | 13/22 | 165/237 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 69% | 73% | 59% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 43/62 | 43/55 | 10/13 | 125/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 69% | 78% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 17/28 | 9/20 | 7/9 | 42/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 61% | 45% | 78% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 57% | 60% | 0% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/8 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 50% | – | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
