Clara Tauson and Naomi Osaka will square off in the final of the ASB Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.38
Clara Tauson -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Clara Tauson vs. Naomi Osaka
There is no head to head record between Clara Tauson and Naomi Osaka since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Clara Tauson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-28 | 19-16 | 14-5 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 6-7 | 13-5 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 26-18 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-15 | 13-4 | 4-5 | 21-4 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
Ranked no. 50, Tauson reached the final after beating Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2 6-3, Sofia Kenin 4-6 7-6(7) 7-6(3), Madison Keys 6-4 7-6(7) and Robin Montgomery 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Tauson had a good straight sets win against Montgomery (6-4 6-3). During the match, Tauson scored 72 points vs Montgomery’s 54. Clara was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tauson bagged 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Clara Tauson lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Tauson put 60% of her first serves in, winning 76% (26/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Tauson broke Montgomery 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.
Tauson has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (238-106). 4-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Tauson has a compiled86-45 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Tauson’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Auckland.
Tauson has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Tauson has never competed in this tournament before.
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-18 | 13-10 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, the Japanese got to the final after defeating Lina Glushko 6-4 6-4, Julia Grabher 7-5 6-3, Hailey Baptiste 6-7(2) 6-1 6-2 and Alycia Parks 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Osaka had a good straight sets win against Parks (6-4 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 63 points vs Parks’s 47. Osaka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Osaka blasted 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve once and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Naomi broke Parks 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Japanese’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Auckland.
Naomi has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tauson | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 87 |
| Pts | 339-288 | 293-228 |
| Total Points | 627 | 521 |
| Winners | 120 | 113 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Tauson and Osaka played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Clara Tauson conceded 1 set, while Naomi Osaka lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tauson and Osaka have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Tauson played 8 games more than Osaka. Tauson scored 120 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Osaka made 113 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tauson | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 41 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 169/296 | 150/256 |
| %1st in | 57% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 120/169 | 113/150 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 66/127 | 65/106 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Tauson recorded 41 aces (10.3 per match). Osaka fired 26 aces (6.5 per match). Tauson won 71% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tauson | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 15 |
| Converted | 18/44 | 15/31 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 30 | 16 |
| Saved | 18 | 12 |
| % Saved | 60% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 4 |
Clara broke her opponents 18 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Dane conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Naomi conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Tauson | ||||||
| R1 Stefanini |
R2 Kenin |
1/4 Keys |
1/2 Montgomery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 7-67 7-63 | 6-4 7-67 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 36 | 23 | 19 | 95 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 118-113 | 86-80 | 72-54 | 339-288 | |
| Total points | 104 | 231 | 166 | 126 | 627 | |
| Winners | 21 | 46 | 27 | 26 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% | 31% | 36% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 58/111 | 44/75 | 34/57 | 169/296 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 52% | 59% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 46/58 | 27/44 | 26/34 | 120/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 79% | 61% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 24/53 | 21/31 | 11/23 | 66/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 45% | 68% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/11 | 3/8 | 4/14 | 18/44 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 36% | 38% | 29% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 30 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 8/13 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 62% | 71% | 50% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Osaka | ||||||
| R1 Glushko |
R2 Grabher |
1/4 Baptiste |
1/2 Parks |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-72 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 87 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 73-53 | 90-72 | 63-47 | 293-228 | |
| Total points | 123 | 126 | 162 | 110 | 521 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 33 | 27 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% | 37% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 30/55 | 39/61 | 45/82 | 36/58 | 150/256 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 64% | 55% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 30/39 | 33/45 | 27/36 | 113/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | 73% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 18/22 | 20/37 | 11/22 | 65/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 82% | 54% | 50% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/6 | 6/12 | 4/6 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 9/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 33% | 90% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWW
LWWWW Tennis Scores in Auckland
- Francesco FortiForti – Alen AvidzbaAvidzba (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clara TausonTauson – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
