Adrian Mannarino and Sumit Nagal will face off in the qualifications of the ASB Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.32
Sumit Nagal -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Sumit Nagal
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the French player got to the qualifications after beating Dominic Stricker 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Stricker (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mannarino scored 65 points vs Stricker’s 55. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino fired 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Adrian broke Stricker 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Mannarino has good record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (268-259). 1-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has a composed 120-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The French player has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Sumit Nagal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-29 | 15-13 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98, Sumit reached the qualifications after defeating Alexander Klintcharov 1-6 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Klintcharov, Sumit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Nagal scored 77 points vs Klintcharov’s 65. The Indian was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Nagal made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sumit Nagal lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Nagal broke Klintcharov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Sumit has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 |
| Pts | 65-55 | 77-65 |
| Total Points | 120 | 142 |
| Winners | 22 | 26 |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% |
Both Mannarino and Nagal played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Sumit Nagal surrendered 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t lost a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Nagal (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mannarino played 3 games less than Nagal. Adrian scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sumit managed to score 26 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 38/66 |
| %1st in | 53% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 26/38 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 64% |
Mannarino fired 4 aces . Nagal scored 2 aces . Mannarino won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Nagal won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Mannarino broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Indian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Indian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | |||
| Q1 Stricker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-55 | 65-55 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 31/59 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 22/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Nagal | |||
| Q1 Klintcharov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-65 | 77-65 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 38/66 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 26/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWL
LWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alexandre MullerMuller – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-0) – H2H and prediction
