Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva will face off in the semifinal of the Brisbane International for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.41
Mirra Andreeva -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Andreeva won 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2024.
Highlights Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka – French Open 05-June-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Renata Zarazua 6-4 6-0, Yulia Putintseva 7-6(2) 6-4 and Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 75 points vs Bouzkova’s 58. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 6 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 64% of her first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Bouzkova 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (377-168). 3-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled 230-92 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Belarussian has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Mirra Andreeva
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 34-16 | 18-9 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 36-9 | 7-4 | 23-4 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-9 | 21-5 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-4, Linda Noskova 6-3 6-0 and Ons Jabeur 6-4 7-6(2).
In the quarter, Andreeva had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-4 7-62). During the match Andreeva scored 79 points vs Jabeur’s 68. Mirra was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Andreeva scored 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 59% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Mirra broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Russian has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Andreeva |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
Tot Games | 58 | 58 |
Pts | 212-165 | 208-162 |
Total Points | 377 | 370 |
Winners | 91 | 81 |
%Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Sabalenka and Andreeva played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Andreeva have played the same amount of sets 6. They also played the same amount of games (58). Sabalenka scored 91 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Mirra scored 81 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Andreeva |
---|---|---|
Aces | 17 | 11 |
Avg per match | 5.7 | 3.7 |
1st in | 116/181 | 117/197 |
%1st in | 64% | 59% |
1st pts | 91/116 | 81/117 |
%1st pts | 78% | 69% |
2nd pts | 33/65 | 47/80 |
%2nd pts | 51% | 59% |
Sabalenka struck 17 aces (5.7 per match). Andreeva bagged 11 aces (3.7 per match). Sabalenka won 78% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Andreeva |
---|---|---|
Won | 10 | 12 |
Converted | 10/24 | 12/16 |
% Converted | 42% | 75% |
Conceded | 12 | 15 |
Saved | 9 | 10 |
% Saved | 75% | 67% |
Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 12 times with a 75% conversion rate. Mirra conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||||
R2 Zarazua |
R3 Putintseva |
1/4 Bouzkova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-0 | 7-62 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 19 | 58 | |
pts | 52-33 | 85-74 | 75-58 | 212-165 | |
Total points | 85 | 159 | 133 | 377 | |
Winners | 21 | 37 | 33 | 91 | |
%Winners | 40% | 44% | 44% | 43% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
1st in | 26/42 | 49/75 | 41/64 | 116/181 | |
% 1st in | 62% | 65% | 64% | 64% | |
1st pts | 21/26 | 37/49 | 33/41 | 91/116 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 80% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 9/16 | 13/26 | 11/23 | 33/65 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 50% | 48% | 51% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
Converted | 5/6 | 2/8 | 3/10 | 10/24 | |
Converted % | 83% | 25% | 30% | 42% | |
Conceded | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 4/5 | 9 | |
Saved % | 75% | 67% | 80% | 74% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Andreeva | |||||
R2 Blinkova |
R3 Noskova |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 7-62 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 23 | 58 | |
pts | 67-57 | 62-37 | 79-68 | 208-162 | |
Total points | 124 | 99 | 147 | 370 | |
Winners | 27 | 21 | 33 | 81 | |
%Winners | 40% | 34% | 42% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
1st in | 39/62 | 32/57 | 46/78 | 117/197 | |
% 1st in | 63% | 56% | 59% | 59% | |
1st pts | 27/39 | 21/32 | 33/46 | 81/117 | |
% 1st pts | 69% | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
2nd pts | 12/23 | 19/25 | 16/32 | 47/80 | |
% 2nd pts | 52% | 76% | 50% | 59% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 12/16 | |
Converted % | 57% | 100% | 80% | 75% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 4/4 | 4/7 | 10 | |
Saved % | 50% | 100% | 57% | 69% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Yshai OlielOliel – Edan LeshemLeshem (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lloyd GlasspoolGlasspool – Peter BothwellBothwell (6-75 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (2-1) – H2H and prediction