Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Reilly Opelka will play each other in the semifinal of the Brisbane International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is the pick to win this match.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard -> 1.72
Reilly Opelka -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Reilly Opelka
There is no head to head record between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Reilly Opelka since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 15-9 | 10-5 | 13-7 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-27 | 21-12 | 9-9 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 0-0 | 31-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-22 | 5-6 | 15-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, the French player reached the semifinal after defeating Nick Kyrgios 7-6(2) 6-7(4) 7-6(3), Frances Tiafoe 6-4 7-6(4) and Jakub Mensik 7-5 7-6(5).
In the quarter, Giovanni had a good straight sets win against Mensik (7-5 7-65). During the match, Mpetshi Perricard scored 79 points vs Mensik’s 71. Mpetshi Perricard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mpetshi Perricard managed to score 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mpetshi Perricard broke Mensik once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Giovanni has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Mpetshi Perricard has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (149-110). 3-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mpetshi Perricard has an aggregate44-27 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mpetshi Perricard has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Giovanni has never competed in this tournament before.
Reilly Opelka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 14-11 | 6-4 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 293, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 7-5 6-4, Matteo Arnaldi 7-6(9) 7-6(4) and Novak Djokovic 7-6(6) 6-3.
In the quarter, Opelka had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (7-66 6-3). During the match Opelka scored 74 points vs Djokovic’s 63. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Opelka blasted 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Reilly Opelka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (38/49) of his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Reilly broke Djokovic once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Reilly hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Reilly has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mpetshi Perricard | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 70 |
| Pts | 266-249 | 220-189 |
| Total Points | 515 | 409 |
| Winners | 142 | 114 |
| %Winners | 53% | 52% |
Both Mpetshi Perricard and Opelka played 3 matches. At the moment, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard conceded 1 set while Reilly Opelka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mpetshi Perricard has played 1 set more than Opelka (7 vs 6). Therefore, Mpetshi Perricard played 17 games more than Opelka. Giovanni scored 142 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Reilly made 114 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mpetshi Perricard | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 75 | 50 |
| Avg per match | 25 | 16.7 |
| 1st in | 170/258 | 136/199 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 142/170 | 114/136 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 53/88 | 43/63 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 68% |
Mpetshi Perricard struck 75 aces (25 per match). Opelka fired 50 aces (16.7 per match). Mpetshi Perricard won 84% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Opelka won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mpetshi Perricard | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 29% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Mpetshi Perricard broke his opponents twice with a 29% conversion rate. The French player pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. The American broke his opponents 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Reilly conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mpetshi Perricard | |||||
| R1 Kyrgios |
R2 Tiafoe |
1/4 Mensik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-74 7-63 | 6-4 7-64 | 7-5 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 23 | 25 | 87 | |
| pts | 111-107 | 76-71 | 79-71 | 266-249 | |
| Total points | 218 | 147 | 150 | 515 | |
| Winners | 65 | 40 | 37 | 142 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 53% | 47% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 36 | 20 | 19 | 75 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 73/111 | 50/75 | 47/72 | 170/258 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 65/73 | 40/50 | 37/47 | 142/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 80% | 79% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 11/25 | 18/25 | 53/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 44% | 72% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Converted | 0/2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 33% | 50% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Opelka | |||||
| R1 Agustin |
R2 Arnaldi |
1/4 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 7-69 7-64 | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 | 22 | 70 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 82-79 | 74-63 | 220-189 | |
| Total points | 111 | 161 | 137 | 409 | |
| Winners | 27 | 49 | 38 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 60% | 51% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 25 | 16 | 50 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 58/86 | 49/64 | 136/199 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 67% | 77% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 49/58 | 38/49 | 114/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 84% | 78% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/20 | 13/28 | 13/15 | 43/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 85% | 46% | 87% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/5 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 20% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWW
LWWWW Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (4-6 6-3 10-3) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Jakub MensikMensik (7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Nicolas Jarry/Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardJarry/Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – James Duckworth/Aleksandar VukicDuckworth/Aleksandar Vukic (w/o) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri Lehecka/Jakub MensikLehecka/Jakub Mensik – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-3 3-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
