Shintaro Mochizuki and Moerani Bouzige will face off in the final of the Noumea Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT N’GODRELA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.22
Moerani Bouzige -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Moerani Bouzige
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Moerani Bouzige since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 235, Mochizuki got to the final after defeating Keisuke Saitoh 6-4 6-4, Andre Ilagan 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2, Taisei Ichikawa 6-3 6-3 and Jurij Rodionov 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against Rodionov (6-3 6-3). During the match, Mochizuki scored 69 points vs Rodionov’s 52. Mochizuki was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 70% of his first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Rodionov 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shintaro has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (179-153). 4-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has an aggregate100-85 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mochizuki’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger.
Mochizuki has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Noumea Challenger
Mochizuki has never competed in this tournament before.
Moerani Bouzige
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-33 | 42-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-36 | 33-27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-19 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-4 | 21-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 517 (career-high), the Australian got to the final after defeating Elmer Moller 4-6 6-3 6-3, Charlie Camus 7-5 6-3, Marton Fucsovics 6-3 6-3 and Constant Lestienne 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Lestienne, Bouzige recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 6-4). During the match Bouzige scored 116 points vs Lestienne’s 113. Moerani was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Bouzige bagged 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Moerani Bouzige lost the serve 4 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Bouzige put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (52/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (19/51) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Lestienne 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moerani has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Australian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger.
The Australian has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Noumea Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 99 |
| Pts | 324-258 | 360-323 |
| Total Points | 582 | 683 |
| Winners | 117 | 140 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Mochizuki and Bouzige played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Shintaro Mochizuki surrendered 1 set, while Moerani Bouzige lost 2 sets. Mochizuki has played 1 set(s) less than Bouzige (9 vs 10). Therefore, Mochizuki played 12 games less than Bouzige. The Japanese scored 117 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzige recorded 140 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 162/278 | 212/349 |
| %1st in | 58% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 117/162 | 140/212 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 61/116 | 68/137 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 50% |
Mochizuki bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). Bouzige managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Mochizuki won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bouzige won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 20 |
| Converted | 18/34 | 20/41 |
| % Converted | 53% | 49% |
| Conceded | 20 | 36 |
| Saved | 13 | 25 |
| % Saved | 65% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
Mochizuki broke his opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Bouzige broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Bouzige conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | ||||||
| R1 Saitoh |
R2 Ilagan |
1/4 Ichikawa |
1/2 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-75 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 18 | 18 | 87 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 110-93 | 76-62 | 69-52 | 324-258 | |
| Total points | 120 | 203 | 138 | 121 | 582 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 39% | 42% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 48/94 | 43/80 | 38/54 | 162/278 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 51% | 54% | 70% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 31/48 | 30/43 | 29/38 | 117/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 65% | 70% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 25/46 | 18/37 | 7/16 | 61/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 54% | 49% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 7/16 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 18/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 57% | 80% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/10 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 80% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Bouzige | ||||||
| R1 Moller |
R2 Camus |
1/4 Fucsovics |
1/2 Lestienne |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-73 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 21 | 18 | 32 | 99 | |
| pts | 99-92 | 81-64 | 64-54 | 116-113 | 360-323 | |
| Total points | 191 | 145 | 118 | 229 | 683 | |
| Winners | 39 | 29 | 20 | 52 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% | 31% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 61/88 | 38/70 | 34/61 | 79/130 | 212/349 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 54% | 56% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 39/61 | 29/38 | 20/34 | 52/79 | 140/212 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 76% | 59% | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 16/32 | 20/27 | 19/51 | 68/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 74% | 37% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 4/9 | 4/7 | 6/9 | 20/41 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 44% | 57% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 36 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 13/17 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 60% | 80% | 76% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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