Madison Keys and Clara Tauson will clash against each other in the quarter of the ASB Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:45 am on INDOOR COURT 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.4
Clara Tauson -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Clara Tauson
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Clara Tauson since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Keys got to the quarter after beating Lucia Bronzetti 6-4 6-4 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-1 6-2). During the match, Keys scored 62 points vs Cristian’s 34. Keys was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Madison Keys was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Madison broke Cristian 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (229-123). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 135-73 record in the last years on hard.
Madison has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Clara Tauson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-28 | 19-16 | 14-5 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 6-7 | 13-5 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 26-18 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-15 | 13-4 | 4-5 | 21-4 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
Ranked no. 50, the Dane reached the quarter after defeating Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 4-6 7-6(7) 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round against Kenin, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-67 7-63). During the match Tauson scored 118 points vs Kenin’s 113. Tauson was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Tauson buried her opponent with 26 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Clara Tauson lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Tauson put 52% of her first serves in, winning 79% (46/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (24/53) on the 2nd serve. Tauson broke Kenin 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Clara has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 53 |
| Pts | 131-90 | 181-154 |
| Total Points | 221 | 335 |
| Winners | 49 | 67 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Both Keys and Tauson played 2 matches. At the moment, Clara Tauson conceded 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Tauson (4 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 18 games less than Tauson. Madison scored 49 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane bagged 67 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 15.5 |
| 1st in | 63/91 | 91/164 |
| %1st in | 69% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 49/63 | 67/91 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 34/73 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Keys fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Tauson fired 31 aces (15.5 per match). Keys won 78% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tauson won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 11 |
| Converted | 9/23 | 11/22 |
| % Converted | 39% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 11 |
| % Saved | 40% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Madison broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Madison dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The Dane broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Dane conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||
| R1 Bronzetti |
R2 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 35 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 62-34 | 131-90 | |
| Total points | 125 | 96 | 221 | |
| Winners | 26 | 23 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 28/41 | 63/91 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 23/28 | 49/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 7/13 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/11 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 45% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tauson | ||||
| R1 Stefanini |
R2 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 7-67 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 36 | 53 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 118-113 | 181-154 | |
| Total points | 104 | 231 | 335 | |
| Winners | 21 | 46 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 26 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 58/111 | 91/164 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 46/58 | 67/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 24/53 | 34/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 45% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/11 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 8/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 62% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
WW Tennis Scores in Auckland
- Robin MontgomeryMontgomery – Bernarda PeraPera (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-72 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sloane Stephens/Clara TausonStephens/Clara Tauson – Rebecca Marino/Tara MooreMarino/Tara Moore (6-4 3-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Samuele RamazzottiRamazzotti – Federico IannacconeIannaccone (6-3 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francesco FortiForti – Pascal MeisMeis (6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alen AvidzbaAvidzba – Mattia FrinziFrinzi (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Riccardo MaigaMaiga (7-611 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Alycia ParksParks (0-1) – H2H and prediction
