Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca will face off in the semifinal of the Canberra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.74
Joao Fonseca -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Joao Fonseca
There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Brit got to the semifinal after beating Matthew Dellavedova 3-6 6-4 7-5, James Kent Trotter 6-2 6-4 and Christopher Eubanks 4-6 6-2 7-6(3).
In the quarter against Eubanks, Fearnley recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-63). During the match, Fearnley scored 109 points vs Eubanks’s 102. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fearnley fired 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Jacob Fearnley was quite effective on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 65% (34/52) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brit broke Eubanks twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jacob has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Fearnley has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 80% of his matches (76-19). 3-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fearnley has a compiled23-6 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Fearnley has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Joao got to the semifinal after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3, Duje Ajdukovic 6-1 7-5 and Harold Mayot 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Mayot (6-2 6-3). During the match Fonseca scored 65 points vs Mayot’s 50. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Fonseca managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 67% of his first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Mayot 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fonseca hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Fonseca has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 52 |
| Pts | 281-251 | 186-128 |
| Total Points | 532 | 314 |
| Winners | 102 | 76 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Fearnley and Fonseca played 3 matches. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley lost 2 sets while Joao Fonseca hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fearnley has played 2 sets more than Fonseca (8 vs 6). Therefore, Fearnley played 28 games more than Fonseca. Jacob scored 102 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian struck 76 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 7 |
| 1st in | 137/255 | 102/152 |
| %1st in | 54% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 102/137 | 76/102 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 76/118 | 25/50 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 50% |
Fearnley fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Fonseca fired 21 aces (7 per match). Fearnley won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 16 |
| Converted | 7/24 | 16/24 |
| % Converted | 29% | 67% |
| Conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Saved | 14 | 8 |
| % Saved | 88% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Brit broke his opponents 7 times with a 29% conversion rate. Fearnley lost his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Fonseca broke his opponents 16 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fearnley | |||||
| R1 Dellavedova |
R2 Kent |
1/4 Eubanks |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 6-2 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 | 31 | 80 | |
| pts | 106-102 | 66-47 | 109-102 | 281-251 | |
| Total points | 208 | 113 | 211 | 532 | |
| Winners | 41 | 22 | 39 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 53/100 | 29/48 | 55/107 | 137/255 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 60% | 51% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 41/53 | 22/29 | 39/55 | 102/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 76% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/47 | 15/19 | 34/52 | 76/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 79% | 65% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/8 | 2/12 | 7/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 17% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 9 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 1/1 | 8/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 89% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fonseca | |||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Ajdukovic |
1/4 Mayot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 17 | 52 | |
| pts | 54-31 | 67-47 | 65-50 | 186-128 | |
| Total points | 85 | 114 | 115 | 314 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 25 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 9 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 35/52 | 39/58 | 102/152 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 27/35 | 25/39 | 76/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 77% | 64% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 7/17 | 9/19 | 25/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 41% | 47% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/9 | 6/9 | 16/24 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 71% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWW
WWW Tennis Scores in Canberra Challenger
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Harold MayotMayot (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (w/o) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Christopher EubanksEubanks (4-6 6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
