Juncheng Shang and Fabian Marozsan will face off in the quarter of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juncheng Shang is the pick to win this match.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.68
Fabian Marozsan -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Juncheng Shang vs. Fabian Marozsan
This will be the 4th time that Juncheng Shang and Fabian Marozsan square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Shang (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Marozsan won 2-6 7-6(5) 7-5 in the 1st round in Belgrade back in 2024.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, Juncheng got to the quarter after beating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 7-6(3) 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Juncheng had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-3 6-1). During the match, Shang scored 61 points vs Martinez Portero’s 42. Shang was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shang bagged 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Juncheng Shang conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Shang put 74% of his first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Juncheng broke Martinez Portero 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shang hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Shang has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (133-79). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shang has a compiled71-35 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Shang has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Fabian Marozsan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-29 | 15-11 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-27 | 7-5 | 32-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 10-3 | 29-12 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-21 | 4-2 | 33-16 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 58, Fabian got to the quarter after beating Roman Safiullin 6-1 7-6(9) and Andrey Rublev 7-5 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Hungarian defeated Rublev (7-5 3-6 6-3).During the match Marozsan scored less points (6) than Rublev. In fact, the world no. 50 won 91 points vs Rublev’s. That means that Marozsan was more focused during the important points. Marozsan was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Marozsan struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Fabian Marozsan lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Marozsan put 65% of his first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Fabian broke Rublev 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Hungarian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Fabian has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shang | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 50 |
| Pts | 136-102 | 170-160 |
| Total Points | 238 | 330 |
| Winners | 61 | 75 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Shang and Marozsan played 2 matches. At the moment, Fabian Marozsan conceded 1 set while Juncheng Shang hasn’t dropped a set so far. Shang has played 1 set(s) less than Marozsan (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shang played 11 games less than Marozsan. Shang scored 61 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Marozsan managed to score 75 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shang | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 73/113 | 108/173 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 61/73 | 75/108 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 29/65 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 45% |
Shang bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Marozsan made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Shang won 84% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Marozsan won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shang | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/14 | 10/25 |
| % Converted | 36% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 11 |
| % Saved | 100% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 |
The Chinese broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Chinese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points. Fabian broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Hungarian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shang | ||||
| R1 Lam Coleman Wong |
R2 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 39 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 61-42 | 136-102 | |
| Total points | 135 | 103 | 238 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/59 | 40/54 | 73/113 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 74% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 32/40 | 61/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 80% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/26 | 5/14 | 25/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 36% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 4/7 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 57% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Marozsan | ||||
| R1 Safiullin |
R2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-69 | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 30 | 50 | |
| pts | 79-63 | 91-97 | 170-160 | |
| Total points | 142 | 188 | 330 | |
| Winners | 30 | 45 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/70 | 67/103 | 108/173 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 45/67 | 75/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 15/36 | 29/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 42% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 4/9 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 44% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 10/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 77% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
WW Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
