Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova will play each other in the quarter of the Brisbane International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.126
Marie Bouzkova -> 6.05
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Bouzkova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Bouzkova won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the semifinal in Washington back in 2024.
Highlights Marie Bouzkova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Washington 03-August-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Renata Zarazua 6-4 6-0 and Yulia Putintseva 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Putintseva (7-62 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 85 points vs Putintseva’s 74. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 65% of her first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Putintseva twice after converting 25% of her break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (376-168). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall 229-92 record in the last years on hard.
The Belarussian has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Marie Bouzkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-22 | 17-16 | 7-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-14 | 33-10 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 11-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, the Czech got to the quarter after defeating Talia Gibson 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3, Jelena Ostapenko 7-6(0) 6-4 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Marie had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-4 6-4). During the match Bouzkova scored 78 points vs Azarenka’s 69. Bouzkova was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Bouzkova bagged 6 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 58% of her first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 27% (10/37) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Azarenka 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Czech has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 74 |
| Pts | 137-107 | 288-254 |
| Total Points | 244 | 542 |
| Winners | 58 | 112 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Bouzkova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Marie Bouzkova surrendered 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Bouzkova (4 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 35 games less than Bouzkova. Aryna scored 58 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Marie scored 112 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 75/117 | 168/273 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 58/75 | 112/168 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 39/105 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 37% |
Sabalenka managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Bouzkova scored 20 aces (6.7 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 18 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 18/32 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 7 | 41 |
| Saved | 5 | 26 |
| % Saved | 71% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 15 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Marie broke her opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Zarazua |
R3 Putintseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 39 | |
| pts | 52-33 | 85-74 | 137-107 | |
| Total points | 85 | 159 | 244 | |
| Winners | 21 | 37 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 49/75 | 75/117 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 37/49 | 58/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 13/26 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 2/8 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 25% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bouzkova | |||||
| R1 Gibson |
R2 Ostapenko |
R3 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 3-6 6-3 | 7-60 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 23 | 20 | 74 | |
| pts | 117-109 | 93-76 | 78-69 | 288-254 | |
| Total points | 226 | 169 | 147 | 542 | |
| Winners | 46 | 30 | 36 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 32% | 46% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | |
| 1st in | 68/106 | 49/79 | 51/88 | 168/273 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 62% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/68 | 30/49 | 36/51 | 112/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 61% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 12/30 | 10/37 | 39/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 40% | 27% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 7/11 | 6/7 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 64% | 86% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 | 12 | 41 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 10/16 | 8/12 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 63% | 67% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
WWW Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Timea Babos/Nicole MelicharBabos/Nicole Melichar – Yifan Xu/Zhaoxuan YangXu/Zhaoxuan Yang (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuko Aoyama/Eri HozumiAoyama/Eri Hozumi – Anna Danilina/Irina KhromachevaDanilina/Irina Khromacheva (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Edan LeshemLeshem – Marek JaloviecJaloviec (5-7 7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yshai OlielOliel – Patrik NemaNema (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lloyd GlasspoolGlasspool – Aaron AddisonAddison (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
