Cameron Norrie and Kei Nishikori will face off in the quarter of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kei Nishikori who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kei Nishikori is the pick to win this match.
Kei Nishikori -> 1.74
Cameron Norrie -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Kei Nishikori
This will be the 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Kei Nishikori play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Nishikori (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nishikori won 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2021.
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, the Brit got to the quarter after beating Learner Tien 6-3 7-5 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 4-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Norrie defeated Sonego (6-2 4-6 6-1). During the match, Norrie scored 80 points vs Sonego’s 65. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cameron Norrie was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (37/52) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Norrie broke Sonego 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cameron has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (314-198). 2-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an overall 181-89 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Cameron has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Cameron has never competed in this tournament before.
Kei Nishikori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Japanese reached the quarter after beating Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Khachanov, Kei recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Nishikori scored 95 points vs Khachanov’s 85. Nishikori was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Nishikori scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Kei Nishikori lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nishikori put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the 2nd serve. Nishikori broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Japanese has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 48 |
| Pts | 157-135 | 155-127 |
| Total Points | 292 | 282 |
| Winners | 75 | 72 |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% |
Both Norrie and Nishikori played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie dropped 1 set, while Kei Nishikori conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Norrie and Nishikori have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Norrie played 2 games less than Nishikori. The Brit scored 75 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Nishikori made 72 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 112/148 | 97/140 |
| %1st in | 76% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 75/112 | 72/97 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 21/36 | 26/43 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Norrie scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Nishikori blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Norrie won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 70% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Cameron broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Norrie lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Nishikori broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | ||||
| R1 Tien |
R2 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| pts | 77-70 | 80-65 | 157-135 | |
| Total points | 147 | 145 | 292 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 52/70 | 112/148 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 74% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 38/60 | 37/52 | 75/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 13/18 | 21/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 72% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/9 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nishikori | ||||
| R1 Shapovalov |
R2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 95-85 | 155-127 | |
| Total points | 102 | 180 | 282 | |
| Winners | 29 | 43 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 62/90 | 97/140 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 43/62 | 72/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 69% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 17/28 | 26/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/7 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
WW Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
