Jurij Rodionov and Shintaro Mochizuki will face off in the semifinal of the Noumea Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:00 pm on COURT N’GODRELA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.86
Jurij Rodionov -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Jurij Rodionov and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jurij Rodionov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 175, Rodionov got to the semifinal after defeating Blake Bayldon 6-4 6-2, Benoit Paire 6-4 5-7 6-2 and Enzo Couacaud 4-6 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter against Couacaud, Rodionov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Rodionov scored 92 points vs Couacaud’s 77. Rodionov was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionov made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Jurij broke Couacaud 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodionov has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Rodionov has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (276-213). 3-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rodionov has a compiled 66-50 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Austrian has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Noumea Challenger
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 235, Shintaro got to the semifinal after defeating Keisuke Saitoh 6-4 6-4, Andre Ilagan 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 and Taisei Ichikawa 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Ichikawa (6-3 6-3). During the match Mochizuki scored 76 points vs Ichikawa’s 62. Shintaro was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Mochizuki struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 54% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Ichikawa 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mochizuki has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Mochizuki has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 69 |
| Pts | 258-214 | 255-206 |
| Total Points | 472 | 461 |
| Winners | 111 | 88 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Rodionov and Mochizuki played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jurij Rodionov surrendered 2 sets, while Shintaro Mochizuki dropped 1 set. Rodionov has played 1 set more than Mochizuki (8 vs 7). Therefore, Rodionov played 7 games more than Mochizuki. Rodionov scored 111 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 88 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 140/222 | 124/224 |
| %1st in | 63% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 111/140 | 88/124 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 41/82 | 54/100 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 54% |
Rodionov blasted 20 aces (6.7 per match). Mochizuki scored 22 aces (7.3 per match). Rodionov won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 14/29 |
| % Converted | 46% | 48% |
| Conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Rodionov broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Jurij dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Shintaro broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Mochizuki conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rodionov | |||||
| R1 Bayldon |
R2 Paire |
1/4 Couacaud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | 28 | 76 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 102-93 | 92-77 | 258-214 | |
| Total points | 108 | 195 | 169 | 472 | |
| Winners | 27 | 48 | 36 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 62/94 | 45/77 | 140/222 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 58% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 48/62 | 36/45 | 111/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 14/32 | 16/32 | 41/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 44% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 5/10 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/5 | 1/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 25% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Mochizuki | |||||
| R1 Saitoh |
R2 Ilagan |
1/4 Ichikawa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-75 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 18 | 69 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 110-93 | 76-62 | 255-206 | |
| Total points | 120 | 203 | 138 | 461 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 30 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 12 | 6 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 48/94 | 43/80 | 124/224 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 51% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 31/48 | 30/43 | 88/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 65% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 25/46 | 18/37 | 54/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 54% | 49% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 7/16 | 4/7 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 57% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/10 | 4/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 80% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWW
WWW Tennis Scores in Noumea Challenger
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Taisei IchikawaIchikawa (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Taisei IchikawaIchikawa (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
