Shintaro Mochizuki and Taisei Ichikawa will square off in the quarter of the Noumea Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on COURT MORAULT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.24
Taisei Ichikawa -> 3.72
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Taisei Ichikawa
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Taisei Ichikawa since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 235, Mochizuki got to the quarter after defeating Keisuke Saitoh 6-4 6-4 and Andre Ilagan 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Ilagan, Mochizuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 110 points vs Ilagan’s 93. Shintaro was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki fired 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 51% of his first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Ilagan 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Mochizuki has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (177-153). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mochizuki has an overall98-85 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mochizuki has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Noumea Challenger
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Taisei Ichikawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-18 | 17-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-25 | 29-19 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-18 | 12-15 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-19 | 8-16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 718, Taisei got to the quarter after beating Liam Branger 6-4 2-6 6-2 and Gijs Brouwer 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Taisei had a good straight sets win against Brouwer (6-1 6-4). During the match Ichikawa scored 65 points vs Brouwer’s 49. Taisei was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Ichikawa was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Taisei Ichikawa was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ichikawa broke Brouwer 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Taisei has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Japanese has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Ichikawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 43 |
| Pts | 179-144 | 145-123 |
| Total Points | 323 | 268 |
| Winners | 58 | 50 |
| %Winners | 32% | 34% |
Both Mochizuki and Ichikawa played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Shintaro Mochizuki conceded 1 set, while Taisei Ichikawa surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Ichikawa have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Mochizuki played 8 games more than Ichikawa. The Japanese scored 58 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Ichikawa made 50 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Ichikawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 81/144 | 71/133 |
| %1st in | 56% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 58/81 | 50/71 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 36/63 | 34/62 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Mochizuki managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Ichikawa struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Mochizuki won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Ichikawa won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Ichikawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/22 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 58% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Ichikawa broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Taisei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | ||||
| R1 Saitoh |
R2 Ilagan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-75 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 51 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 110-93 | 179-144 | |
| Total points | 120 | 203 | 323 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 12 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 48/94 | 81/144 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 31/48 | 58/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 65% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 25/46 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 7/16 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Ichikawa | ||||
| R1 Branger |
R2 Brouwer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 43 | |
| pts | 80-74 | 65-49 | 145-123 | |
| Total points | 154 | 114 | 268 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/74 | 31/59 | 71/133 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 22/31 | 50/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 15/28 | 34/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/10 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 6/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 86% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWW
LWW 
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