Matteo Arnaldi and Reilly Opelka will square off in the 2nd round of the Brisbane International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.62
Reilly Opelka -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Reilly Opelka
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Reilly Opelka since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Matteo got to the 2nd round after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-3 6-2). During the match, Arnaldi scored 55 points vs Popyrin’s 40. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was quite effective on serve to win 71% (17/24) of his 1st serve and 70% (21/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Popyrin 3 times.
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (217-134). 1-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a compiled75-41 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Italian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Reilly Opelka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 14-11 | 6-4 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 293, Reilly got to the 2nd round after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Agustin Gomez (7-5 6-4). During the match Opelka scored 64 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 47. Reilly was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Opelka fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Reilly Opelka was pretty effective on serve to win 93% (27/29) of his 1st serve and 85% (17/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Opelka broke Agustin Gomez twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
The American has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 |
| Pts | 55-40 | 64-47 |
| Total Points | 95 | 111 |
| Winners | 17 | 27 |
| %Winners | 31% | 42% |
Both Arnaldi and Opelka played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Opelka have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Arnaldi played 5 games less than Opelka. The Italian scored 17 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Opelka blasted 27 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 9 |
| 1st in | 24/54 | 29/49 |
| %1st in | 44% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 27/29 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 93% |
| 2nd pts | 21/30 | 17/20 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 85% |
Arnaldi made 7 aces . Opelka recorded 9 aces . Arnaldi won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Opelka won 93% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 85% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 100% | 40% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Matteo broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Italian had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The American broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Reilly was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 55-40 | 55-40 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/54 | 24/54 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/30 | 21/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Opelka | |||
| R1 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 64-47 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 27/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/20 | 17/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 85% | 85% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
W
W Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-2 6-75 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (19-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
