Harold Mayot and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the quarter of the Canberra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.27
Harold Mayot -> 3.48
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Harold Mayot vs. Joao Fonseca
This will be the 2nd time that Harold Mayot and Joao Fonseca fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fonseca (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Fonseca won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Madrid Challenger back in 2024.
Harold Mayot
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-37 | 14-13 | 11-9 | 15-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-29 | 11-9 | 9-13 | 7-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 40-33 | 13-8 | 19-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 116, Mayot reached the quarter after defeating Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-4 and Daniel Elahi Galan 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Mayot had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (7-65 6-4). During the match, Mayot scored 75 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 69. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mayot fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Harold Mayot was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mayot was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Elahi Galan Riveros twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mayot hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Mayot has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (162-132). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mayot has a composed45-35 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mayot has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Harold has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Fonseca reached the quarter after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3 and Duje Ajdukovic 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Joao had a good straight sets win against Ajdukovic (6-1 7-5). During the match Fonseca scored 67 points vs Ajdukovic’s 47. Joao was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Fonseca bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 67% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Ajdukovic 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Fonseca has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mayot | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 35 |
| Pts | 134-121 | 121-78 |
| Total Points | 255 | 199 |
| Winners | 58 | 51 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Mayot and Fonseca played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mayot and Fonseca have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Mayot played 8 games more than Fonseca. Mayot scored 58 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Joao recorded 51 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mayot | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 71/134 | 63/94 |
| %1st in | 53% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 58/71 | 51/63 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 33/63 | 16/31 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Mayot struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Fonseca recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Mayot won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mayot | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/5 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 100% | 67% |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Mayot broke his opponents 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mayot | ||||
| R1 Koepfer |
R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 43 | |
| pts | 59-52 | 75-69 | 134-121 | |
| Total points | 111 | 144 | 255 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 40/76 | 71/134 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 32/40 | 58/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 19/36 | 33/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/2 | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fonseca | ||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Ajdukovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 35 | |
| pts | 54-31 | 67-47 | 121-78 | |
| Total points | 85 | 114 | 199 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 35/52 | 63/94 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 27/35 | 51/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 7/17 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 41% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/9 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWW
WWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Harold MayotMayot – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-0) – H2H and prediction
