Karen Khachanov and Kei Nishikori will play each other in the 2nd round of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.65
Kei Nishikori -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Kei Nishikori

This will be the 7th time that Karen Khachanov and Kei Nishikori clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Nishikori (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Nishikori won 4-6 6-2 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2021.

Highlights Kei Nishikori vs Karen Khachanov – French Open 02-June-2021

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
19
High
8
LWWWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-15 5-6 9-6 0-1 4-2 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 19, Karen will start his run in Hong Kong after he played his last match in Paris where he lost 6-7(6) 6-4 6-3 to Humbert in the semifinal on the 2nd of November.

The Russian has a composed 37-22 win-loss record in 2024, 14-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he defeated Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Russian has an overall 417-272 record. He has a positive 164-105 record on hard.

Previously in Hong Kong

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

Hong Kong
Khachanov's Record

Kei Nishikori

Kei Nishikori

1 - 0win/loss

Hard
1-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
66
High
4
LWLWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-10 9-5 3-3 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 20-11 7-5 5-3 8-2 0-1 0-0
2023 10-3 10-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 26-17 15-9 7-4 2-2 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 106, Kei reached the 2nd round after beating Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round, Nishikori had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-2 6-3). During the match Nishikori scored 60 points vs Shapovalov’s 42. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Nishikori scored 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Kei Nishikori was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kei broke Shapovalov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Helsinki Challenger where he beat Luca Nardi in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.

Kei has a compiled 20-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Hong Kong
Nishikori's Record

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

  • Kei NishikoriNishikoriDenis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Nuno BorgesBorgesBu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (3-6 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerMarc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar ClarAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Zizou BergsBergsAlejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Juncheng ShangShangChak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
  • Gabriel DialloDialloRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (4-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
  • Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez PorteroFrancesco PassaroPassaro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Fabian MarozsanMarozsanRoman SafiullinSafiullin (6-1 7-69) – See score progression
  • Cameron NorrieNorrieLearner TienTien (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoBrandon NakashimaNakashima (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
  • Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovicLuciano DarderiDarderi (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina/Arthur FilsDavidovich Fokina/Arthur FilsPedro Martinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar ClarMartinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar Clar (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Juncheng ShangShangChak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
  • Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez PorteroFrancesco PassaroPassaro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Kei NishikoriNishikoriDenis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerMarc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Zizou BergsBergsAlejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Nuno BorgesBorgesBu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (3-6 6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
  • Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar ClarAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Gabriel DialloDialloRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (4-6 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw