Shintaro Mochizuki and Andre Ilagan will play each other in the 2nd round of the Noumea Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on COURT N’GODRELA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.53
Andre Ilagan -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Andre Ilagan
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Andre Ilagan since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 235, Shintaro got to the 2nd round after defeating Keisuke Saitoh 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Saitoh (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 69 points vs Saitoh’s 51. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was very effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Saitoh 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 53% of his matches (175-153). 19-22 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has an aggregate96-85 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Shintaro has an aggregate 28-33 win-loss record in 2024, 19-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Noumea Challenger
Mochizuki has never competed in this tournament before.
Andre Ilagan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 400, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Ilagan had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 7-65). During the match Ilagan scored 72 points vs De Jong’s 65. Ilagan was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Ilagan fired 4 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Andre Ilagan was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andre was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break De Jong twice.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Champaign and M15 Bali.
The American has an overall 50-29 win-loss record in 2024, 41-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 |
| Pts | 69-51 | 72-65 |
| Total Points | 120 | 137 |
| Winners | 27 | 42 |
| %Winners | 39% | 58% |
Both Mochizuki and Ilagan played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Ilagan have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mochizuki played 3 games less than Ilagan. The Japanese scored 27 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ilagan struck 42 winners (58%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 57/76 |
| %1st in | 66% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 42/57 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/19 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 58% |
Mochizuki recorded 4 aces . Ilagan blasted 4 aces . Mochizuki won 82% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Ilagan won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 50% | 100% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Mochizuki broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ilagan broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Ilagan conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Saitoh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 69-51 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 33/50 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 27/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ilagan | |||
| R1 De |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 72-65 | 72-65 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 58% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 57/76 | 57/76 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 42/57 | 42/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWW
WLW Tennis Scores in Noumea Challenger
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Blake BayldonBayldon (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Benoit PairePaire – Colin SinclairSinclair (6-74 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Taisei IchikawaIchikawa – Liam BrangerBranger (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Shinji HazawaHazawa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ryotaro TaguchiTaguchi – Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Elmer MollerMoller (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Jake DelaneyDelaney (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Charlie CamusCamus – Kosuke OguraOgura (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Francisco CabralCabral (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Keisuke SaitohSaitoh (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Kiranpal PannuPannu (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Bernard TomicTomic (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Benoit PairePaire – Colin SinclairSinclair (6-7(4) 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Blake BayldonBayldon (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Charlie CamusCamus – Kosuke OguraOgura (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Benoit PairePaire – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taisei IchikawaIchikawa – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
