Maks Kasnikowski and Matteo Martineau will square off in the qualifications of the Canberra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on Court 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Martineau who should win in 3 sets.
Matteo Martineau -> 1.86
Maks Kasnikowski -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Maks Kasnikowski vs. Matteo Martineau
There is no head to head record between Maks Kasnikowski and Matteo Martineau since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Maks Kasnikowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-28 | 6-8 | 22-13 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 13-6 | 22-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-19 | 16-7 | 20-10 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-11 | 7-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 181, Kasnikowski reached the qualifications after beating Hayden Jones 6-7(4) 7-6(4) 7-6(3).
In the qualifications against Jones, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 7-64 7-63). During the match, Kasnikowski scored 127 points vs Jones’s 120. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasnikowski scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Maks Kasnikowski was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (63/79) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Maks broke Jones once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Kasnikowski has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (136-84). 6-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasnikowski has a compiled42-26 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Oeiras 1 Challenger where he overcame Gastao Elias in the final 7-6(1) 4-6 6-3 and the Poznan Challenger where he defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the final 3-6 6-4 6-3.
Maks has a composed 40-28 win-loss record in 2024, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Martineau
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-33 | 2-4 | 7-13 | 18-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 0-1 | 23-17 | 18-15 | 0-0 | 9-3 |
| 2022 | 36-31 | 2-1 | 23-20 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-26 | 4-4 | 27-15 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
Ranked no. 210, the French player got to the qualifications after beating Alibek Kachmazov 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Kachmazov (6-4 6-4). During the match Martineau scored 73 points vs Kachmazov’s 57. Matteo was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Martineau bagged 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Matteo Martineau lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Martineau put 62% of his first serves in, winning 86% (32/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Martineau broke Kachmazov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Martineau’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Nottingham Challenger,the Cherbourg Challenger and the Roanne Challenger.
The French player has an aggregate 30-33 win-loss record in 2024, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasnikowski | Martineau |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 20 |
| Pts | 127-120 | 73-57 |
| Total Points | 247 | 130 |
| Winners | 63 | 32 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Both Kasnikowski and Martineau played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Maks Kasnikowski surrendered 1 set while Matteo Martineau hasn’t lost a set so far. Kasnikowski has played 1 set more than Martineau (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kasnikowski played 19 games more than Martineau. The Pole scored 63 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Martineau fired 32 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasnikowski | Martineau |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6 |
| 1st in | 79/123 | 37/60 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 63/79 | 32/37 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 10/23 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 43% |
Kasnikowski scored 9 aces . Martineau recorded 6 aces . Kasnikowski won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Martineau won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasnikowski | Martineau |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 3 |
| Converted | 1/4 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 80% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Pole broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. The Pole lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Martineau conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kasnikowski | |||
| Q1 Jones | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-64 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 127-120 | 127-120 | |
| Total points | 247 | 247 | |
| Winners | 63 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 79/123 | 79/123 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 63/79 | 63/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 24/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Martineau | |||
| Q1 Kachmazov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 73-57 | 73-57 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/60 | 37/60 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 32/37 | 32/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel EvansEvans – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Patrick KypsonKypson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Harold MayotMayot (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Brandon HoltHolt (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Matthew DellavedovaDellavedova (0-0) – H2H and prediction