Francesco Passaro and Denis Yevseyev will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Passaro is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.43
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.66
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Denis Yevseyev
There is no head to head record between Francesco Passaro and Denis Yevseyev since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Francesco Passaro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, the Italian got to the qualifications after defeating Aziz Dougaz 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Francesco defeated Dougaz (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Passaro scored 93 points vs Dougaz’s 79. Passaro was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Passaro scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Francesco Passaro was very effective on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Francesco broke Dougaz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Passaro has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (174-132). 4-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Passaro has an overall28-29 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-3 7-5 and the Genova Challenger where he beat Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the final 7-5 6-3.
Francesco has a composed 39-25 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Francesco has never competed in this tournament before.
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 14-14 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246, Denis reached the qualifications after defeating Cristian Garin 6-4 2-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Kazakhstani defeated Garin (6-4 2-6 6-2). During the match Yevseyev scored 82 points vs Garin’s 77. Denis was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Yevseyev managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Garin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Yevseyev’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger,the Oeiras 4 Challenger and the Helsinki Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 35-37 win-loss record in 2024, 14-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 26 |
| Pts | 93-79 | 82-77 |
| Total Points | 172 | 159 |
| Winners | 41 | 36 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Both Passaro and Yevseyev played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Passaro conceded 1 set, while Denis Yevseyev conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Passaro and Yevseyev have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Passaro played 5 games more than Yevseyev. Francesco scored 41 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Yevseyev scored 36 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 45/77 |
| %1st in | 60% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 41/56 | 36/45 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 21/37 | 16/32 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Passaro recorded 6 aces . Yevseyev made 5 aces . Passaro won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Yevseyev conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Passaro | |||
| Q1 Dougaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 93-79 | 93-79 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 56/93 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 41/56 | 41/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/37 | 21/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Yevseyev | |||
| Q1 Garin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-77 | 82-77 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/77 | 45/77 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 36/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
LLWWLLWWWL 
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